World Cup Value Bets | Day 2

World Cup Value Bets Day 2

A bit unlucky with last night’s value pick on the draw. At 1-1 on 71 minutes and very few chances for either team, the match looked likely to end level. That was until the referee decided to gift Brazil one of the softest penalties you will ever see.

That’s value betting for you though and all things considered I’m very happy with the 5.75 I put down on the draw and it was clear the real price was shorter. A decent start for Brazil and Neymar top goalscorer backers. Neymar needn’t start acting like god just yet with goals that were essentially a daisy cutter and a poor penalty that should really have been saved but I guess it doesn’t matter how they go in.

3 games to consider on day 2 and first up is Mexico v Cameroon at 5pm. Mexico scraped through qualification but are likely to be better in terms of organisation than Cameroon who have won just one World Cup finals match since reaching the last eight in 1990. I’m happy to back Mexico at anything above even money and 2.38 will do for me.

they’ll be plenty more familiar players in the 8pm match between Spain and The Netherlands and this one is an easy one for me. Spain have lost just one of their last 36 competitive matches. They are current world AND European Champions. Yes, the Netherlands are a decent side too but at odds of 1.87 I have to back Spain here, giving them a conservative estimate of 55% likely to win on the value finder spreadsheet making the 1.87 small value.

Finally at 11pm it’s Chile v Australia which really doesn’t sound like it has the makings of a classic. Our betting expert Zed has done a preview of the Chile v Australia match which will help you familiarise yourself more with these teams and their relative strengths.

I agree with his assessment of Australia’s strike force being weak and they have in fact failed to score in six of their ten World Cup fixtures. So the bet has to be Chile or the draw for me. I’ve given Chile a 61% chance of victory and so 1.44 is not a big enough price to warrant value according to the spreadsheet. The value is therefore with the draw for me but I’ll be having a bet on the Chile clean sheet too.

 

Value Bets
Mexico to beat Cameroon at with Coral
Spain to beat the Netherlands at 1.87 with BetVictor
Chile v Australia Draw at 4.5 with Betway

Other Recommendations
Chile clean sheet at 1.91 with Bet365