Premier League Value Bets – Week 31

Premier League Value Bets - Week 31

I can feel the season drawing to a close now and whilst these value selections are still in profit I have to admit that I’m a little disappointed with the results to date.

The ROI has slipped to just 2.61% and whilst showing a return pricing up every premier league game is no easy task, I expected much better than this especially since the last season I tried this I finished up with a much better return.

There’s still plenty of games to go however and it is often in matches near the end of the season where you see some big priced winners. Why not have a go at estimating the percentage chances on the prem this weekend and seeing if you can do better. Link to the value finder template is here.

Chelsea look a decent price in the eraly kick off tomorrow considering their home record of 13 wins from 15 (2 drawa) and I don’t feel that Arsenal have got enough up front to break down the water tight Chelsea defence.

I seem to be missing all the big priced winners lately and I don’t hold too much hope for Cardiff against the in form Liverpool or Fulham who play Man City in the fortress that is the Etihad but at 9.5 and 21.0 the value is always going to be on those teams long term. I had City winning this 8 times out of 10 but the market thinks they win even more than this which is too much for me regardless of Saturday’s result.

Stoke, Sunderland and Palace are the bets where I’m hoping some decent profit will come. All around the 3-1 mark, I fancy at least one winner there and quite possibly 2 which would give us a nice return from those. Stoke’s away record (1 win from 15) is a big concern but they are a decent side and they must start to win away soon… surely?!

The question of the weekend though is have Man Utd actually turned the corner or was their Champion’s League win against Olympiakos another false dawn. They’re without the man who did all the damage on Wednesday in Van Persie (knee injury) and although West Ham should be tough opposition, I’m expecting a united win.


BET OF THE WEEKEND – Sunderland Draw No Bet at 2.7 with Bet Victor