Premier League Value Bets – Week 28

Premier League Value Bets Week 28

A frustrating weekend last week and having backed the draw, Chelsea’s 95th minute winner at home to Everton made the difference between profit and loss. Fulham almost rectified things for us and had they held on to their 1-0 lead at West Brom we’d have broken even. Instead it was a loss but there’ll be weeks and there have already been where these things go for us. We’re still in profit which is not easy on the premier league and the updated sheet can be found here.

Hull were our bet of the weekend and they beat Cardiff even easier than expected! The only other winner was Man Utd against Palace which was what is now an unusual routine win for United.

There are only 8 games this weekend and with it being a smaller sample it’s less likely that big prices will go our way. It hasn’t affected my thinking however and I’ve priced up as fairly as possible and I’m hoping one or two of the big prices that the sheet had selected can deliver.

In fact the value based on my percentage estimates is on the underdog for all matches except for the Liverpool v Southampton and Hull v Newcastle’s matches. The saints haven’t found it as easy against the very best in the premier league and Liverpool are certainly up there right now.

Newcastle are struggling without Cabbaye and although they found a late winner at home to Villa last Sunday I don’t expect them to start winning easily again. Remy and Tiote are their stand out players and i think the rest of the team is a bit average.

I did my best to give Tottenham a generous percentage as possible this week as Cardiff are a shambles right now. 70% is about as high as it gets for me though unless you are brushing everyone aside like City were a month or so back. So a bet on Cardiff it is…. stranger things have happened! (I think)

Good luck with all your bets this weekend.


BET OF THE WEEKEND – Norwich to beat Aston Villa at best odds of 4.0 with Betfred