Just a quick one from me today as I’ve been flat out working on some more automation via excel triggered betting. It’s great fun watching the formulas do all the work for you (when you’re winning of course. If you’ve never tried it and fancy a go read my post on bots and my review of Gruss too. Feel free to give me a shout if you need any help.
Since our last round of prem games England have become world-beaters once again and Andros Townsend the new Gareth Bale. Well not quite and I’m quite impressed at how realistic people are still being despite England’s impressive performance against Poland on Tuesday. The team looked fresh for the first time in years with plenty of pace and players playing without the shackles of pressure for the first time in years. Let’s hope Woy can continue the good work whilst improving his analogies too.
We’ve been a bit unlucky of late with recognising teams that are too short only to get the draw and the underdog the wrong way round e.g. like last week when we had Spurs to draw with West Ham and Arsenal to lose To Wets Brom who did in fact score first and only dropped the 2 points due to a Wilshere shot which was deflected.
This week all nearly all the outcomes have come out as I would have predicted. The one surprise for me is the lunchtime kick off tomorrow between Newcastle and Liverpool that tells me Newcastle are value. Can’t see Newcastle winning but Liverpool is still not there yet and 4.5 is a big price for a home team that have goals in them. Colocinni is out and Taylor still likely to be injured and Liverpool welcome back Glen Johnson, Joe Allen and Aly Cissokho but are Still without Coutinho.
Mesut Ozil is ok for Arsenal after knee problem in Germany and with the return of Sangna and Cazorla to the squad Arsenal should have too much for Norwich who are without Pilkington. The sheet tells me that the draw is a big price at 5-1 however and with Norwich proving very capable against Chelsea last time out I am happy to back this..
Chelsea without Ashley Cole and Cardiff are probably the toughest of the new boys to beat and 6-1 is another big price on the draw. I certainly can’t be backing Chelsea sans goal scorer at 1.25!
Everton and Man City are bankers for me (no rhyming slang intended). I’m still waiting for Hull to be found out and it starts this Saturday for me. I don’t care that Top goal scorer Robbie Brady is back for Hull, they will not beat Everton! West Ham could be difficult to grind down and come full of confidence
The way Southampton have been playing and Man United not, it doesn’t take a genius to see that the value lies with the Saints. Many of United’s England contingent could be revitalised after a good display on Tuesday and Januzaj could make his home debut. Maybe Januzaj could actually think about choosing England ahead of Belgium now. Or maybe not. This will certainly be a competitive one I reckon.
Stoke have had 3 straight defeats but some good performances and with West Brom also in good form, I think this match is difficult to predict but I’d have to side with the baggies who have more quality.
It’s Gus Poyet’s first game in charge for Sunderland this weekend and he has Steven Fletcher available again. Swansea still without Ashley Williams and Ben Davies a doubt and a keen to impress Sunderland side look good value for me here.
On to Sunday and Aston Villa who could welcome back Benteke take on Tottenham. Villa play a very open attacking style which will suit Spurs down to the ground in my opinion.
Finally on Monday Crystal Palace who have lost 5 out of their last 6 and are set to be Prem’s whipping boys play Fulham and I think Palace are set for another defeat in this one.
Bet of the weekend Sunderland Draw no bet to beat Swansea at 5.0 with Bet Victor.
You can find the full value finder estimations and selections here: