Premier League Preview – Week 23

Premier League Preview - Week 23

So the premier league returns with a full set of fixtures over Tuesday and Wednesday after a break for the FA Cup. Man Utd will be hoping to put their recent embarrassments behind them and that the signing of Juan Mata will help to turn things around for them at home to Cardiff City. Rooney and Van Persie have returned to training and could return too.

It should be a cracking atmosphere at the ‘theatre of disasters’ with the baby faced assassin returning, now in a managerial capacity. Cardiff are in poor form and have failed to win any of their last 6 away matches. The odds suggest this one is a formality but I don’t quite agree. 16s is a bit too big and Cardiff did manage a draw in the reverse fixture.

The Mersyside Derby is perhaps a more exciting prospect than it has been for a while. There’s only a point separating both sides and with both playing attack minded football it looks like it could be another goal fest. The reverse fixture finished 3-3 and was a candidate for game of the season so far.

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 8 at home though so you’ve got to favour them especially with the modern day SAS in attack. However, I can’t have Liverpool greater than evens for this match (currently 1.84) and the value is with a more than capable Everton with an astute manager at the helm.

I shall be using Kelly Stakes for the first time this season since they have outperformed level stakes thus far (8.48% versus 5.59%). This means that my percentage estimate shave been pretty damn good so far so let’s hope this continues. Check out my estimates and Kelly Stakes here: value finder prem spreadsheet

My estimates for this round of games indicate the biggest value in Fulham, Hull and Man City. I’m especially pleased with Hull and Man City but Fulham’s goals conceded column doesn’t fill me with a lot of confidence. That said, Swansea have failed to win in their last 8 games and 5.75 does look a big price for a somewhat rejuvenated side.


Bet of the Week: Man City to beat Spurs at 2.05 with BetVictor