Great Away Days

Yesterday was in fact a great day for away results just as we hoped. We predicted wins for Sunderland,Swansea and Wolves that all came in and gave us a 70.71% Return on Investment for yesterday and 34.11% overall. On the face of it 3 correct outcomes out of 7 doesn’t sound particularly impressive but it’s all about the odds and odds of 3.6, 3.85 and 4.5 were very juicy wins indeed. You could say we rode our luck a bit wit both Swansea and Wolves both losing at one point and we were certainly helped with QPR and Stoke both playing a chunk of the game with 10 men. However, this is exactly what can happen in football and you have to factor luck into your price. Conversely we were actually very unlucky in midweek so it all evens itself out as they say, you just have to make sure you are consistently taking value. Onto today’s games then Aston Villa v Newcastle and Chelsea v Man United, assuming that the snow fall won’t stop these from going ahead. Villa seem a little more rejuvenated since the arrival of Robbie Keane and have been scoring a fair amount of goals. Newcastle have been a bit leaky without Steven Taylor and even though they scraped a 2-0 win the other night they were a bit fortunate. Demba Ba returns today though and so I make Newcastle slight favourites, being the home team but my sheet tells me that Villa are still the value. At the Bridge, a struggling Chelsea minus John Terry take on an in form Manchester United who are likely to still be without Nani but may welcom back Wayne Rooney. The Betfair market can’t separate them but I don’t see how Chelsea can be favourites in this one. United are likely to dominate possession and Chelsea just can’t seem to find the net these days. Even their last gasp equaliser against Swansea the other night was very fortunate and I see the value with the away side yet again. So surprise surprise, I will be backing both away teams today. Landing one of these will put me in profit for the day and cap of a superb weekend for the Premier League Predictions.

Date Home Away Selection Odds
05-Feb-12 Newcastle Aston Villa Newcastle 3.75
05-Feb-12 Chelsea Man Utd Chelsea 2.80