Contradiction – Euro bets

A bit of a contradiction for me today as my bet of the day is Spain to score in both halves yet I see the value in the match markets on Ireland. So unless Ireland win 3-2 or better, one of these bets will definitely lose! I realise Spain is the most likely result and I can see them scoring both halves but the match odds are nothing short of ridiculous! Ireland aren’t that bad and well 16.5 is a huge price in my opinion.

Germany’s win saw us back in the profit at a measly 2.32% for the tournament last night but the Kelly return is at a whopping 31.71%, meaning that I’m understanding how much value lies in each particular game pretty well so far. In my premier league betting Kelly was always slightly below the return of that of level stakes but there were perhaps more win for massive underdogs than you would normally see in the prem last season and this could go some way to explain this. I’ve always been interested and excited about Kelly staking so I’m hoping these results can continue.

Come on Ireland!!

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