Football

Best Premier League bets – Week 12

Premier League expert Jamie takes a look at the best Premier League bets for the upcoming weekend.

 

Leicester vs Watford – BTTS & over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5

Leicester City will be absolutely flying with confidence following their 3-2 away win at The Hawthorns on Saturday, but so will Sanchez Flores’ side, as they’ve managed to record back-to-back wins for the second time this season following their 2-0 win at home to West Ham. Watford have been pretty solid in defence thus far and are seemingly starting to find their feet in the Premier League, currently sitting in 10th position.They have kept 5 clean sheets this campaign, however only 1 has come away from home and against Claudio Ranieri’s side who have scored in every single game this season in all competitions, it is hard to see them adding to that tally.

On the other hand, Leicester are evidently slightly exposed at the back as the results show they have only kept 1 clean sheet all season. Jamie Vardy is the top scorer in the league with 11 and has scored in each of his last 8 games, it underlines the possibility of him being on the score sheet. Furthermore, the second top scorer in the League is Watford’s Odion Ighalo and with the weaknesses I mentioned in Leicester’s defence, he will also be looking to add to his tally and it’d come as no surprise if he did. Out of Leicester’s 11 games so far, 8 of them have averaged over 3 goals per game.

I can see Leicester being involved in another goal fest at the King Power with both teams getting on the scoresheet.

 

Stoke vs Chelsea – Stoke or Draw @ 5/6                              

The talk of the press this season has been frequently aimed at Jose Mourinho and his Chelsea side, who have not lived up to the expectations they set upon themselves after they secured the Premier League title last year. Sitting 15th and already being dumped out of the Capital One Cup by their hosts on Saturday, Jose Mourinho’s side have only won once away from home this campaign.

Stoke, likewise, haven’t been too great either and sit one place above Chelsea, but following their cup win against The Blues, Stoke will go into this game full of confidence knowing that they can get something out of this one. Mourinho’s men have picked up 1 point out of a possible 9 in their previous three games and The Britannia stadium has proven to be a hard place to go in recent years. His managerial problems at Chelsea could get even worse if they fail to win this one.

Stoke come into this game having only lost 1 game in their past 8 in all competitions, so they will carry great momentum into this contest against an ill-fated Chelsea side and I fancy the Potters to get a result.

 

Aston Villa vs Manchester City – Manchester City @ 1/2

Manchester City are proving to be the team to beat this campaign and it is easy to see why. Even without their first-choice striker Sergio Aguero, they can still put the ball in the back of the net having netted 14 goals in his absence. The main catalysts in helping The Citizens collect 3 points without Silva and Aguero; are the trio of De Bruyne, Sterling and Yaya Toure, who have scored a combined 9 goals this season and share over 10 assists.

Against bottom of the league and new manager Remi Garde, The Blues will be looking to keep their top spot against an Aston Villa who haven’t won a league game since the opening fixture. There is surely no chance of Villa nullifying the deadly attack of Manchester City and getting anything out of this one. Villa have conceded in every home league game this season and against the Premier League’s top scorers it is inevitable that streak will continue at the weekend.

Villa have lost their last 6 games in all competitions whilst The Blues have managed to pick up an impressive 10 points out of a possible 15 on their travels this season and I expect them collect another 3 points in this one.

 

Arsenal vs Tottenham – Arsenal -1 @ 29/20

Arsenal will come into this game on the back of 5 straight victories and will be looking to keep tally with Manchester City who are joint 1st with The Gunners. Wenger’s side have already beaten Tottenham in the Capital One Cup this season and will be looking to add to that win with another one over their North London rivals this Sunday. 5 out of Arsenal’s 8 wins have been over a 1 goal margin and for a side who have beaten Everton, Manchester United and Bayern Munich on their own turf already this season, this Spurs side may struggle to cope with an Arsenal attack who can be lethal infront of goal.

The game will have a typical derby-day feel to it and may cause the game to become open, so this will enable players like Alexis Sanchez and Mesut Ozil to work their magic in front of goal and provide for joint 3rd topscorer Olivier Giroud. Pochettino’s side have plausibly proven that they’ve formed new-found defensive solidity this campaign, having conceded just nine goals in their opening 11 Premier League games of the season – the joint-fewest in the top flight. Conversely, failing to keep a clean sheet in 6 out of their 7 away games in all competitions this season could prove costly against a clinical Arsenal side who have netted an impressive 21 goals already this campaign.

I think if Arsenal go one up, Tottenham may throw bodies forward in search of an equaliser and leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks from The Gunners.

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