Championship expert Jamie picks out the best Premier League bets week for the upcoming weekend.
Bristol City vs Hull – Hull -1 @ 19/5
League leaders Hull travel to Bristol City for the lunch time kick-off on Saturday and the Tigers are in a rich vein of form, winning their last 5 by at least 2 goals and not conceding a single goal in the process. Bristol City on the other hand, in their last 2 home games, beat Wolves 1-0 and got heavily beaten by Fulham 4-1. I think Hull -1 is a good bet for this one because the Fulham result showed that Bristol City do leak in a lot of goals, as all 4 were scored inside the first 36 minutes and proved that it was game over before the first half had even ended. Against Hull, who have the best goal difference in the league, it may be hard to cancel out their attacking prowess and I think if Steve Bruce’s side go ahead, they will still look for more goals to win the game and their defence is solid enough to cope with Bristol City.
Some say ‘defence is the best form of attack’, and with only conceding 8 goals all season, I think Hull will run away with this one and preserve their top spot, continue their winning streak and put the pressure on the top teams playing at 3pm.
Leeds vs Rotherham – Leeds @ 5/6
Leeds United will be filled with confidence following their last 2 wins on the trot and they face bottom of the league Rotherham United who have not won in 7 and picked up only 1 point out of a possible 21. Rotherham are rooted to the bottom and have only won 1 away match out of a possible 8, whilst losing 6 and drawing 1. Leeds will be fresh off a 3-0 demolition victory over their West Yorkshire rivals Huddersfield and are slowly climbing up the table since the arrival of Steve Evans. Rotherham concede on average just under 2 goals in every away game thus far in the campaign and have the worst goal difference in the entire league. Carrying on, I think Leeds will carry great momentum into this clash and score against the team at the bottom, making it hard for them to come back into the game.
The reasoning for this bet is due to the fact Steve Evans’ side have picked up 6 points from a possible 6 previously, and I thoroughly back them to make it 9 from 9 against a Rotherham side who are destined for the drop already.
Ipswich vs Wolves – BTTS @ 10/11
The last two matches between these sides last year both ended with both teams scoring in the game and I can see the same happening again this weekend. Ipswich’s last match was a goal-fest against bottom of the league Rotherham, which ended 5-2 to Ipswich. The result gives good perceptive for the bet because it shows that Ipswich can attack with a real threat but shows that they are quite vulnerable at the back which is something Wolves should be able to capitalise on. Whereas with Wolves, they average over 1 goal every game away from home this campaign and they also concede on average over 1 goal every game on their travels – so in conclusion, the stats balance out in the favour of the BTTS option on this game.
Considering the fact that Ipswich have scored 23, conceded the exact same amount and that Wolves score more goals in away matches than they do at home, the BTTS bet is the best bet for this game because the stats and previous outings underline the possible certainty of goals in this one.
Derby vs Cardiff – Under 2.5 @ 8/11
2 out of the last 2 games for Derby have had under 2.5 goals in them, likewise for Cardiff, 7 out of their last 7 games have not had any more than 2 goals included in them, therefore, I think under 2.5 goals is a safe bet for this game. In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, there have been 4 games which have been under 2.5 goals and I can see the same happening again this weekend. Cardiff are good at nullifying the opposition, which is why they have kept 5 clean sheets out of their last 6 games, however, their attacking side of the game is slightly concerning as out of these 6 games, the Bluebirds only managed to score 3 which is a strong reason as to why I think under 2.5 goals is the best bet for this one.
Cardiff have already managed to take points off promotion contenders Brighton and Middlesbrough this campaign by keeping the goal-tally down; and Paul Clement’s side will be looking to win this one, but it will definitely not come easy as Cardiff will be there to frustrate Derby which is why I predict there won’t be many goals in this match.