Hamilton v Aberdeen Jesus Garcia Tena

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Date / Time: Sunday 22nd November 2015 - 12:30
Betting Tip: Hamilton v Aberdeen Jesus Garcia Tena
Market:Anytime Goalscorer
Selection: Jesus Garcia Tena (Outsider)
Competition: Scottish Premiership
Best Odds: 17.0 @ Bet365
Recommended Stake: 10 Units
Result:VOID
Odds updated from 0.00 to 17.00 (BOG)
Betfair Starting Price: 0.00

Tipster: Fitba Tips  ratingratingratingratingrating
Profit: 439.20
Win / Loss: 83-24-128
ROI: 20.8%
View Fitba Tips's full profile

Posted on Friday 20th Nov - 13:32
  • The Dons could find themselves four points adrift of second place by Sunday evening if they lose to Accies on Sunday afternoon.
  • What a collapse that would make having been seven points clear at the top of the table at the end of September.
  • Accies were flying high back then too. They could find themselves drop from third to ninth having being caught up by Saint Johnstone, Inverness, Ross County and even Kilmarnock.
  • In fact there is a direct correlation between the clubs’ form. It’s one win in six league matches for both of them with Aberdeen picking up four points and Hamilton picking up five.
  • Both can lay claim to being absolutely demolished by Saint Johnstone although for Hamilton that has happened twice, conceding four goals both home and away.
  • Hamilton weren’t expected to be top six material so it’s not such a surprise. But when Aberdeen won eight league games on the bounce they became burdened by great expectations. Since then all they have delivered is wuthering heights.
  • When the bad run started people were saying ‘you don’t become a bad team over night’. That is true but the opposite also stands. Just because they won their last game doesn’t mean they will return to being a great team overnight.
  • I can’t possibly back a stumbling Aberdeen at a best price of 2.05(21/20) with William Hill. Not given their form and Hamilton’s previously outstanding home form.
  • Instead I am going to look to the anytime goalscorer market and take another punt on Jesus Garcia Tena to score anytime for Hamilton Accies. At a price of 16/1 with bet365 it is a no brainer.
  • The big defender has, as I have oft mentioned, the sweetest left foot in the league. He can stick free kicks in from twenty-five yards in his sleep and takes the penalties for the home side.
  • You can back him at 40/1 to score first with bet365 and that’s as low as 14/1 with Coral. You can get a better price for him to score anytime with 365 than to score first with Coral. That in itself shows you how out of touch the 365 prices are.
  • I will have a minimum stake (20% standard bet size) on the AGS price and an even smaller stake (8%) on him to score first.

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Comments

Tena not made the squad due to injury, bet is void.

Pure gutted :(
Fitba Tips said on 22 Nov 15 11:57

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