Arbroath v Cowdenbeath +2.5 Goals

Please see all the information about this tip below. Remember it is important that you get the best odds available as listed below as even a small difference in odds each time will affect your overall profit long term. If you do not have an account with Betfair Exchange it is a good idea to create one as you can often get better odds particularly on bigger priced horse racing tips.

Date / Time: Monday 7th December 2015 - 19:45
Betting Tip: Arbroath v Cowdenbeath +2.5 Goals
Market:Total Match Goals
Selection: +2.5 Goals (Near Best)
Competition: Scottish Cup
Best Odds: 1.75 @ BetVictor
Recommended Stake: 10 Units
Result:WON 7.50
Odds updated from 0.00 to 1.75 (BOG)
Betfair Starting Price: 0.00

Tipster: Fitba Tips  ratingratingratingratingrating
Profit: 439.20
Win / Loss: 83-24-128
ROI: 20.8%
View Fitba Tips's full profile

Posted on Monday 7th Dec - 13:10
  • The continuing poor weather has seen an increase in the betting odds for +2.5 total goals in this game. While the rain and wind has died down across the country Arbroath is situated on the coast and winds will still be strong.
  • Rain is forecast to continue until mid afternoon so there will be little respite for an already sodden surface. This usually means goals are not the way to go. However, there are other factors to consider with Cowdenbeath's penchant for goals being a major factor.
  • Twenty-0ne of their last twenty-five away matches have seen +2.5 goals. That's going all the way back to last December and no doubt included the odd sodden pitch.
  • With the winner of this tie rewarded with a lucrative tie against Rangers at Ibrox it becomes a must win for both sides. That, coupled with the fact that this is the third attempt, should see both sides go hard for the win.
  • Another interesting stat is the percentage of Scottish Cup replays that often see a glut of goals. In the last ten seasons 65% of 159 replays saw more than two goals. This percentage is even higher for the early rounds.
  • If you take out the fifteen games that were quarter or semi final replays (of which only 33% saw three or more goals) the percentage increases to 68%. On that factor alone the price available for +2.5 match goals should be 1.47(47/100).
  • The question is whether the weather nullifies the value in a price of 1.75(3/4) with McBookie.
  • Based on nothing more than experience and opinion it is known that the weather will affect the goal production but by how much? That's an indeterminable factor in my opinion.
  • My preferred method of dealing with indeterminable factors is to leave well enough alone or play with smaller stakes. Tonight I am going for the latter option. Were it not for the weather I would be all over this game for goals.

Bulletin Board

***Backing every tip this year so far for £10 each would have returned £4614.47 profit!***

Remember that this is just a guide to the overall peformance of the board and much better returns are possible by following only the very best football and horse racing tipsters.

You can subscribe to our 3, 4 and 5 star tipsters for just £24.99 a month (80p a day).

Click here to start making a profit from our tips.

Football betting site Betway

Table for Non-Racing in October

 Name W/L Profit £
1 Footy Movers Football  6/9 +41.00
The stake for each tip is 10 units

Betfair - For bigGER profits

An account with Betfair is a must have.

The big profits from our tips largely come from horses over 10/1 and betfair exchange have significantly better prices on those selections.

We have had success requesting slighty bigger prices than those tipped and usually get matched very easily.

Liquidity can be a problem at times but
they also have their sportsbook odds which are up there with the best in terms of
bookie odds.

Sign up to betfair and get a £20 free bet.

New customers only, bet at least €20 on the Exchange and if your
first bet loses, we’ll refund you €20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. Full T&Cs Apply