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Actually I've just done the maths and it's only break even but is better if you lay anything below 5/2. I wish there more odds on selections!
Brian said on 16 Jan 17 at 10:03

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I still think there's value in laying 2/1 and below though and will stick with this and the current criteria for a while. If you remove anything bigger than that this month we'd have a decent profit I think.
Brian said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:52

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I agree mate, the stats are definitely saying that the lower you lay the better and it's a lot more favourable in terms of risk too as you suggest.
Brian said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:51

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BTW there are none today that meet that criteria
Superted said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:46

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Yes I get that Brian that is why I would always lay in my favour from 1-2 and lower btw you probably wouldn't have loads but 2 30-100 got beat the other day and that would be a decent profit on both
Superted said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:43

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To work out the lay liability it's just what you would win if you were backing £10 at those same odds. So at 2/1 if we lay for £10, we would be risking £20. It's just the other side of the bet and what the bookies would lose if you won. Hope that makes sense!
Brian said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:34

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Yes I've done it to win £10 each time as this is the default setting when you got bet with Betfair i.e. your lay stake is what you want to win. I could change it but when we were laying uowards of say 4/1 you would be winning less than £2 for your £10 stake and Betfair don't allow that either.
Brian said on 16 Jan 17 at 09:32

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What I don't understand about the lays is its not level stakes betting I think that makes it more difficult
Superted said on 15 Jan 17 at 22:00

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So I'm correctly identifying movers that generally go on to shorten more now but still too many selections and this weekend has shown that early moves tend not to be particulalry significant in terms of running well or winning. It's definitely the late ones at decent odds we need to catch and so I've done a little more tinkering.
Brian said on 15 Jan 17 at 18:38

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Great stuff D21 3 excellent winners
Superted said on 15 Jan 17 at 18:19

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Thanks guys really made up with this one I guess I do okay in bumpers
Superted said on 15 Jan 17 at 18:16

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Eagle Im a fan of the Kirk/Godwin combo, and a fan of you, so I,ve had a punt and got 100/1 on the exchange just now, so fingers crossed for you mate.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 20:09

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Good nap Big Al and smashing double.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 18:21

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Class is like cream it rises to the top, Teddy you are the DB's, time and time again you show your class. Fantastic.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 18:12

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Many thanks Brian,Eagle and Dynamite appreciated, I need a couple more like that.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 18:08

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Well done Pinpoint. Nice thorough reasoning too.
Brian said on 14 Jan 17 at 17:51

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Not just a bang but you've gone and blown the bloody place up!!!

Congrats on an incredible day Dynamite. WD to Superted on his mammoth winner too.
Brian said on 14 Jan 17 at 17:49

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WOW! 50/1 that's why they call you SUPERTED. We should have known it would turn-around this month.
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 16:37

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Another bumper winner for Teddy.
Eagle Eyes said on 14 Jan 17 at 16:22

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D21 Your a star!

WD PP with Arthur:O)
Eagle Eyes said on 14 Jan 17 at 16:22

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Cheers PP, pleased to see you also had ONE FOR ARTHUR. It was a lovely ride by Foxy. Confidence is a beautiful, beautiful thing!
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 16:03

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Yeah what a super treble D21 chuffed for you mate WD.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 15:51

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KaCHING!
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 15:46

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KaBOOM!
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 15:27

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YEEAAAH! There it is! Well done Dynamite, hope you won plenty.
Brian said on 14 Jan 17 at 14:48

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BANG!
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 14:46

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If anyone is wondering why Chesterfield, Sego Success and Fountain's Windfall weren't picked up by the MM profile, I think it's because the moves came more than 24 hours ago. I can look to include these too.

Good to see you back tipping Dynamite and hope the kitchen sink creates a BANG! GL everyone :)
Brian said on 14 Jan 17 at 11:59

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Good Luck today D21
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 11:18

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ta guys, but i am still on a losing run. i don't count token placed tips as winners. Last winner (11oct16) :O{
"I'VE THROWN THE KITCHEN SINK AT IT!" today.
Dynamite21 said on 14 Jan 17 at 11:11

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First winner back from a break, Well Done D21, good to have you back.
Pinpoint said on 14 Jan 17 at 10:56

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WB D21:o)

GL Today.
Eagle Eyes said on 14 Jan 17 at 10:34

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Apologies Ron, this must have been auto settled incorrectly and that's why I missed it. Excellent tip mate, I guess you must have been the one who knew! ;)
Brian said on 13 Jan 17 at 21:03

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Okay cheers Brian
Superted said on 13 Jan 17 at 20:45

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Brian Would you check settling of Fast Track 7.15 Wolves note this one I was put up on Betfair Sportsbook at 13.00 with @ 30p rule 4, it looks like you may have settled it as per exchange. Cheers
Ron E said on 13 Jan 17 at 20:43

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Updated to 9/1 with Betfair Sportsbook. GL
Brian said on 13 Jan 17 at 20:42

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Couldn't check this on Matchbook myself it wants you to join its available at 9/1 best odds Betfair sportsbook so maybe Brian could adjust to that or just void it
Superted said on 13 Jan 17 at 20:33

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Finally got onto Marathonbet website...shows 13.00 on oddschecker but only 8.00 on their site.
Eagle Eyes said on 13 Jan 17 at 19:49

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Betfair and Betdaq prices hasn't been updated either.
Eagle Eyes said on 13 Jan 17 at 19:26

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Sorry ST, but that price hasn't been available for hours. I tried without success.

8.00 has been the highest price for a while now.
Eagle Eyes said on 13 Jan 17 at 19:24

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Someone definitely knew about this one! Went off at less than 6/4 on the exchange and was still nearly 3/1 with bookies before the off.

Seventeen runs since last win in 2014 and off 111 days?!
Brian said on 13 Jan 17 at 19:22
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Table for Horse Racing in January

 Name W/L Profit £
1 Roland65 Horse Racing  16/50 +377.80
2 Superted Horse Racing  7/63 +315.00
3 Dynamite21 Horse Racing  4/17 +171.50
4 Food4Fort Horse Racing  0/1 -10.00
5 McGhee Horse Racing  1/3 -21.70
6 HorseLays Horse Racing  43/19 -33.50
7 DaveStevos Horse Racing  2/6 -36.50
8 Big Al Horse Racing  6/25 -40.00
9 Brian Horses Horse Racing  0/4 -40.00
10 James 2202 Horse Racing  4/11 -55.00
11 Hicko65 Horse Racing  14/40 -92.00
12 Eagle Eyes Horse Racing  12/49 -120.59
13 Kalatari Horse Racing  4/40 -122.00
14 Pointage Horse Racing  3/26 -146.00
15 Tipwise Horse Racing  10/43 -147.50
16 ApprenticeJo Horse Racing  10/62 -215.10
17 Pinpoint Horse Racing  5/48 -265.80
18 Market Movers Horse Racing  34/257 -340.80
The stake for each tip is 10 units

Table for Footy & Tennis in January

 Name W/L Profit £
1 Holy Grail Football  13/12 +226.60
2 Bet Monkey Football  7/4 +178.30
3 ColdGold Football  3/1 +17.10
4 Brian Footy Football  1/1 +3.00
5 MJH Footy Football  0/2 -20.00
6 Alcuni Football  2/7 -33.80
7 AntaeusTen Tennis  5/14 -54.90
8 Footy Movers Football  10/31 -84.00
The stake for each tip is 10 units

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