Simple Kelly Calculator

The Kelly formula or Kelly Criterion as it's often known is a mathematical formula for working out the optimum amount of money to stake on a bet to maximise the growth of your funds. You can read more about how it works in this Kelly Criterion Wikipedia article.

Usually, the bigger your edge on the odds the more you should bet but Kelly also takes into account the real chance of that bet winning and Kelly would advise a smaller bet for a 5% edge at even money (2.0) than a 5% edge at 1/3 (1.33).    



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The actual formula for Kelly Staking is below:

((odds-1) * (percentage estimate))  -  (1-percent estimate)     /    (odds-1)         X        100

*Your percentage estimate must be expressed as a decimal e.g. 70% will be 0.7

 

E.g. - Odds of 1.58 with estimated 70% chance

= ((0.58*0.7 – (1-0.7))  /   0.58)    x  100

= (0.106/0.58)   x   100

=18.28%
                         

Bulletin Board

***Backing every tip from our Tipster Table in September so far for £10 each would have returned £170.76 profit!***

Remember that this is just a guide to the overall peformance of the board and much better returns are possible by following only the very best tipsters.

You can subscribe to our 4 and 5 star tipsters for just £24.99 a month (80p a day).

Click here to start making a profit from our tips.

Table for Horse Racing in September

 Name W/L Profit £
1 Daily Nap Horse Racing  59/84 +545.85
2 Pinpoint Horse Racing  24/100 +322.55
3 Puntage Horse Racing  5/16 +227.00
4 AppJoLays Horse Racing  41/3 +205.00
5 Tipwise Horse Racing  21/58 +169.16
6 Brian Horses Horse Racing  10/25 +105.00
7 Value Hunter Horse Racing  6/43 +50.75
8 Kalatari Horse Racing  1/4 +35.00
9 TheNap Horse Racing  1/2 +34.00
10 Dynamite21 Horse Racing  28/58 +31.50
The stake for each tip is 10 units

Table for Footy & Tennis in September

 Name W/L Profit £
1 Brian Footy Football  4/9 +20.60
2 Mr Magpie Football  2/1 +13.70
3 AntaeusTen Tennis  12/13 -15.40
4 Antaeus Golf  0/4 -40.00
5 Bet Monkey Football  0/13 -130.00
6 Footy Movers Football  10/37 -204.00
The stake for each tip is 10 units

Betfair - For bigGER profits


Betfair Exchange is a must have.

The big profits from our tips largely come from horses over 10/1 and betfair exchange have significantly better prices on those selections.

We have had success requesting slighty bigger prices than those tipped and usually get matched very easily.

Liquidity can be a problem at times but
they also have their sportsbook odds which are also up there with the best in terms of
bookie odds.

Sign up to betfair and get a £20 free bet.