Betting Advice and Analysis

Unbelievable Profits!

Wow what a week for my premier league selections. I was happy enough to get one 9-1 winner but 2 in the same week with extra profit from Arsenal and Liverpool to boot, well I never imagined that happening. That makes the total profit for this week 175 units a return of 175%. This is almost 3 times the highest weekly return so far and brings the overall profit above 300 units and is a 24.82% Return On Investment. We’ve now had 3 winning weeks in a row now! See the results in their full glory here:
Remember we only starting recording the bookies best odds half way through and so this figure would almost certainly be slightly better if we always took the best odds since the start or paid the lowest rate of commission (2%) at Betfair.
Whilst I’m unbelievably happy with these results and figures, I’m not stupid enough to think they will continue. Even if I am to continue making a profit this week and next it’s almost certain that this overall figure of 25% will go down. When I started these selections I was convinced I could beat the odds by 5% and hoped for 10 but 25% is out of this world and I’m almost certain unsustainable. If I can keep above the 10% figure long term I will be happy and anything else is a welcome bonus.
My tip of the day is also firing on all cylinders with 10 wins out of the last 11 and an ROI for that of 18.93%. Again anything above 10% is what I’m hoping to achieve long term so I’m more than meeting my own expectations currently. Now that I bet using level stakes and I know what sort of returns are possible I am more than happy with results such as these. A year or two ago I wouldn’t have appreciated such returns from the stakes used and would have had no idea what my ROI was after a long winning streak and when I eventually did hit a loser I would more than likely chase or place a panic bet.
I think no matter how you bet it’s important to see how your betting is performing to what’s realistically possible long term and this is why keeping records and analysing them is crucial. This way when you do go on a long winning run and then hit one very bad loss, you may see that you are still achieving a very impressive ROI and such a loss was always going to be inevitable. For example sometimes I would start off with a £100 and turn it into £200 only to get down in the dumps about then losing £30, but I had just doubled my bank in 3 weeks! I now appreciate just how hard this is to achieve and that if you are risking such a large percentage of your balance swings like this are inevitable.
Anyway on to this week’s selections and it looks like this is going to be a bit dull in comparison after 3 straight weeks of huge profits. There are only 6 games and apparently I agree with the market on 3 of them! Don’t think this is me playing it safe after last week as I do my percentages before I find out what the odds available are.
If we don’t profit this week don’t lose heart or faith as even if we lose on all 3 matches this week we are still doing well. Remember, to think short term is a mug mentality! I’ve corrected some of the weekly figures in the summary below. This was nothing major and didn’t affect overall results but sometimes it’s hard to keep track of where one week starts and the other ends. I try to class a week as a full fixture list of 10 matches or a group of matches spread over 2 or 3 days. Like I said, this week there is only 6. Good luck with all your bets this weekend.

 

Home
Away
Selection
Best Odds
Norwich
Man City
Man City
1.57
Sunderland
Wolves
NONE
N/A
Swansea
Blackburn
NONE
N/A
West Brom
QPR
QPR
3.6
Man Utd
Aston Villa
NONE
N/A
Arsenal
Wigan
Draw
6

Weekly Summary:

Week
Units staked
P/L
ROI
1
100
49.44
49.44%
2
100
54.41
54.41%
3
90
-43.21
-48.01%
4
100
15.03
15.03%
5
100
-9.11
-9.11%
6
70
-11.34
-16.19%
7
100
15.50
15.50%
8
90
-14.70
-16.33%
9
90
40.60
45.11%
10
100
-13.00
-13.00%
11
100
29.50
29.50%
12
80
42.70
53.38%
13
100
147.00
147.00%
TOTAL
1220
302.82
24.82%
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