Betting Advice and Analysis

The best bets find you

With the Internet and smart phones making it so easy to bet these days many of us undoubtedly place more bets than we should. If you have an edge the more bets the better but the more bets you make with bookies or exchanges the smaller the chances of your edge holding up and staying in profit because of the built in overround or commission. I’m sure we all feel we would make more if we were more selective and thinking about this the other day I realised that all the best bets actually find me and if I stuck to only these my profit levels would be much more significant.

Most of these bets that have stood out to me have been very strong favourites but they’re not all ridiculously short and they are bets that I know immediately I must make. Some are so high profile that I knew of them already and some pointed out by tipsters but the key is that I know instantly that they are good bets and didn’t have to research for them. I thought back to the last couple of years of betting and bets of this type that have called out to me and I came up with the following: Man United to beat Wolves (1.34) Taylor to beat Painter (1.17), Barcelona to beat Man United (evens), Nadal to beta Berdych (1.37), Haye to beat Harrison (1.2) and there are many more that I have forgotten. When I thought about these bets where there is such a strong feeling that they come to me, I realised I have barely had a loser!

The daily bets that I go searching for or that have been tipped up by other tipsters may be good but I’m never as confident with these so stakes aren’t ever that high and this makes them pretty insignificant if I’m betting more on the bets that call out to me. If I stopped faffing and having daily bets on everything I would free up much more time and it would allow more cash at my disposal to bet big when one of these bets comes along.

My tip of the day has had a bit of a poor spell recently and after a few losers and a few void matches the profit has decreased somewhat but it’s still showing 7% ROI and the Prem Selections are also in profit at 8.04%. These figures aren’t too shabby at all and if we were to stay in the 5-10% range or more I will be very happy. Profiting from gambling is not easy especially when trying to find a tip every day and betting on the biggest, most popular football league in the world!

Here are this week’s prem selections followed by the week by week summary:

Home
Away
Selection
Best Odds
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Chelsea
1.85
Everton
West Brom
West Brom
4.75
Fulham
Norwich
Norwich
5.5
Man City
Sunderland
Draw
6.5
QPR
Arsenal
Arsenal
1.62
Wigan
Stoke
Stoke
2.8
Wolves
Bolton
Bolton
3.2
Newcastle
Liverpool
Liverpool
2.5
Tottenham
Swansea
Swansea
9
Blackburn
Man Utd
Man Utd
1.4

Summary:

Week 1 -> 55.20 Units profit (55.2% ROI) 
Week 2 -> 59.90 Units profit (59.9% ROI)
Week 3 -> -41.80 Units profit (-46.44% ROI)
Week 4 -> 19.50 Units profit (19.5.% ROI)
Week 5 -> -5.9 Units profit (-5.9% ROI)
Week 6 -> -9.3 Units profit (-13.29% ROI)
Week 7 -> 15.5 Units profit (15.5% ROI)
Week 8 -> -14.70 Units profit (-16.33% ROI)
Week 9 -> 40.60  Units profit (40.11% ROI)
Week10 -> -13.00  Units profit (-13% ROI)
Overall -> 83.62 Units profit (8.90% ROI)

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