Football

Premier League Preview – Week 21

Premier League Preview - Week 21

All the talk has been about managers this week with Sam Allardyce and David Moyes under immense pressure. Every man and his dog written a blog entry on Moyes it seems. The truth is that Moyes was always going to struggle with the squad he inherited and I feel Fergie would have too. He certainly didn’t help matters by paying so much for Marouane Fellaini though, in what was possibly the worst panic buy ever.

Man United already beaten by Swansea in Sunday’s FA cup match added to the woe of the league cup loss to Sunderland and the loss to Spurs in the league. I fancy united to scrape the win tomorrow but then I have in a number of games they’ve lost this season. I gave them a percentage estimate of 62% which I thought was pretty generous but at the current odds Swansea are the value and that’s where my money is.

West Ham have conceded 11 goals in their last 2 matches and even though these were cup matches and not their strongest teams, this is not good for Allardyce’s reputation as some kind of defensive genius. Rodney Marsh amusingly pointed out half way through the Man City match that parking the scooter was not working out for the Hammers!

Both Cardiff and West Ham could have their main strikers back in Bellamy and Carroll and despite West Ham’s horrendous run, I still believe this match could go either way and that the value is on West Ham.

Chelsea are the early kick off tomorrow and they seem to have hit a bit a form. Hull will still be tough to beat though and goals are still not coming as easily as Cheslea would hope. The 6.5 on the home win looks small value.

Ross Barkley is a doubt for Everton and although I can’t see Norwich putting up much of a fight, the reverse fixture did end 2-2. Norwich are a team well capable of springing a surprise on their day and odds of 10.0 are worth a punt.

Fulham v Sunderland looks like a low scoring one. Sunderland have impressed me in recent weeks and this was backed up by their Carling cup win against United. Dempsey has returned which has given the Cottagers a boost but I make the Black Cats the favourites here.

Southampton are on a poor run, losing 6 of their last 9 but I think it’s important to look at their opposition in these losses. They were Arsenal, Chelsea (twice), Tottenham, Everton and Villa. The Villa match was one of those matches but the other sides are quality and Southampton have been pretty consistent against the teams in the bottom half. I think they deserve to be odds on at home to West Brom.

Tottenham at 1.37 are far too short against Crystal Palace in my opinion. Pulis will have his team well organised and could spring a surprise form a set piece. Spurs are more attacking under Sherwood but this will make them more susceptible to losing to a team like Palace. Paulinho, Sandro, Townsend Vertonghen are all missing for Spurs.

The way Man City are playing, I’m very happy to back them at 1.7 against Newcastle. Their away form is far from perfect but Newcastle’s open and attacking style should suit them as it did on the opening day when City won 5-0.

Stoke are very difficult to beat at home (unbeaten in last 7) and when you consider the fact they’ve beaten Liverpool in all of their last 3 meetings at the Britannia, odds of 5.00 look good value.

Finally, Arsenal take on Villa at Villa Park and will be keen to take revenge for the 3-1 defeat in the reverse fixture on the opening day. Arsenal have been far from impressive in recent weeks but Villa even less so. Their main man Benteke hasn’t scored in his last 12 matches. I think Villa could be in trouble this season and this should be an easy win for the Gunners.

 

Bet of the Weekend – Sunderland DNB to beat Fulham at 2.63 with Betfair

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