Football

Premier League Predictions Wk 1 (Sunday Update) – 71% ROI for today!

Unfortunately my Premier League Tip of the day for West Brom to do the business at home (2.16) lost. Norwich are showing that they can score against anyone right now but whether or not they will encounter the slide down the table away like Blackpool who had a similar approach, did last season.

The Premier League Predictions as a whole had a superb start. Based on odds available at Betfair I manage to cash in on a home win for Blackburn and draws at Stoke/Liverpool and Totenham/Wolves. The Kelly stakes showing 49.48% ROI and Level Stakes showing a massive 71.25% ROI. Yes, you cant read too much into ROI after one round of bets but nevertheless it was a great start and showed that we found a lot of value. See the link for the sheet below. Please note that the ROI shows less than the percentages above because tomorrows bets have now been placed.

Judging by the updates on Soccer Saturday, Sunderland could have quite easily come away from the Bridge with a draw and Villa sounded unlucky not to have taken all 3 points and so our results could have been even better.

On to tomorrow then and it’s Newcastle at home to QPR and Swansea at home to Arsenal. Newcastle still without the influential Steven Taylor but QPR on a poor run and no Joey Barton. Mark Hughes is the new QPR boss but is overrated as a manager in my opinion. He lacks charisma and enthusiasm and so I don’t expect him to have anything like the effectt Martin O’Neill has had a Sunderland.

Swansea are a good footballing side but history sows that these match ups really suit Arsenal. I don’t think Swansea have enough of a physical presence to hurt Arsenal and I expect them, especially with the return of Van Persie to win convincingly.

The spreadsheet advises a decent sized bet on Newcastle and a small bet on the draw, so effectively laying QPR but this way we get better odds and our biggets bet so far on Arsenal. I’m quite suprised Arsenal are 1.86 on Betfair and expected them to be a fair bit shorter. Level stakes leads the way so far but it will be interesting to see whether this continues.

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