Football

Change of strategy – Drawfinder

So another losing week for me and results so far this season have been nothing short of disastrous and if I’m honest I’ve found it difficult time –wise to make such accurate percentage predictions.  Add this to the fact that I’m sick of losing out to draws especially after championing them when I proved how they were the best value selection overall and I think it’s time for a change of strategy.
I’ve decided it’s time I started cashing in on these draws and I’m aiming to find them each week in the premier league. I proved in my post a few weeks back that if you bet on the draw for every PL game by obtaining the best draw odds available from the top bookies, you would have made a profit in the last 4 out of 5 seasons! So I’ve figured that by eliminating some we can make this profit even greater! I’m not sure of the best way to do this but I’m going to trial picking the half of the fixtures that I believe the draw is the most likely so that will be 5 bets. Why 5 I hear you ask? Well, this means I will only need to find 2 to make a decent profit! Sounds easy huh? Well we’ll see how this goes but I may tinker with the rules slightly as I see fit and I’ll knock-up a new spreadsheet if this proves any good.
Here are my selections for this week:
Date
Home
Away
Draw?
Best Odds
01-Dec-12
West Ham
Chelsea
Yes
3.5
01-Dec-12
Arsenal
Swansea
No
4.63
01-Dec-12
Fulham
Tottenham
No
3.46
01-Dec-12
Liverpool
Southampton
No
5.11
01-Dec-12
Man City
Everton
Yes
4.48
01-Dec-12
QPR
Aston Villa
Yes
3.57
01-Dec-12
West Brom
Stoke
Yes
3.46
01-Dec-12
Reading
Man Utd
No
5
02-Dec-12
Norwich
Sunderland
No
3.4
02-Dec-12
Newcastle
Wigan
Yes
3.5
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