Football

Capital One Cup Final Betting Preview

The Capital One Cup Final is the first major trophy of the season and will be played out between two managers with very different trajectories.

Jurgen Klopp is looking to earn his name at Liverpool after making his reputation at Borrusia Dortmund. Manuel Pellegrini is working out his notice after Pep Guardiola was prematurely named as his replacement.

That faux pas by the City board has undoubtedly had an effect on their form with just two wins against struggling Sunderland and Dynamo Kiev in the five games since the announcement.

They have suffered defeat at home to Leicester and Tottenham which looks likely to have put pay to any chances of regaining the EPL trophy this season. After an inexperienced side were mauled by Chelsea in the FA Cup all that remains is the Champions League and of course, Sunday’s League Cup final.

Klopp has had an indifferent start to his Liverpool career with a real mixed bag of results so far. They have scored six goals twice under his management and won a thrilling encounter by five goals to four at Norwich having come back from 3-1 down in the second half.

Yet they have failed to see off Newcastle, Watford, West Ham (twice) and an underperforming Man Utd. The problem with Liverpool at the moment is you just don’t know which one is going to turn up. The end to end, freely attacking, cavalier side reminiscent of Dortmund under Klopp, or the stuffy, struggling to ignite side that is all too familiar of the end of the Rodgers reign.

One thing is for sure, though, he has his players on side. It’s a peculiar gift of Jurgen Klopp that everyone seems willing to fight for him, from the players to the fans. He has a magnetic charm and when it comes to cup finals, a willingness to go that extra yard can sometimes be the difference.

Man City head into the game as favourites at 2.3 (13/10) with the likes of bet365 and Betfair and it is my guess that they will be pretty friendless in the market at that price. Liverpool can be backed at a high of 3.4 (12/5) with Betvictor and that could be worth looking at.

Particularly if you include some Draw No Bet insurance and you will still get 2.38 (11/8) with Betvictor and William Hill.

Cup finals are notoriously low scoring affairs, for the most part, but the League Cup final has tended to buck that trend. Five of the last six have seen +2.5 goals and with plenty of attacking talent on show backing that outcome at 1.94 (15/16) with Marathon Bet has some appeal.

Certainly if the Dortmund like Liverpool show up and City go all out to bring one more trophy home for their departing manager, it could be all out entertainment.

Recommended bet: Back Liverpool draw no bet at 2.38 with BetVictor

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