Betfred Ebor Handicap Ante Post Preview
It looks as if the bookmakers have struggled to make any horse favourite in they’re ANTE-POST books with four horses at head of the market between the 10 and 12/1 mark with the majority of bookmakers.
The one at the front of the market that attracts my attention is the Tony Martin trained QUICK JACK the recent winner of the Galway hurdle over in Ireland who stormed home under Denis O’Regan, to land a big prize. This horse hasn’t run on the flat since the Chester Cup at the start of May and run of a mark of 97 and finished second to Ascot Gold Cup winner TRIP TO PARIS. The handicapper has only but Quick Jack up by 4lbs for his second in the Chester Cup, the ground was good to soft that day which wasn’t a massive problem for QUICK JACK however his better form is when the going is good.
I think he will relish the step back to 1mile and 6 furlongs, and will have easily improved the 4lbs put up by the handicapper he has some excellent flat form being 3rd in a CESAREWITCH at Newmarket last October and winning a flat handicap at the 2014 Galway festival over 2 miles. The 12/1 with BOYLESPORTS is worth taking now as I can see it being half the price on the day of the race.
Another horse that also caught my eye when looking at the race was QUICK JACK’S stable mate CASSELLS ROCK. Another horse that’s been placed in competitive jumps races throughout the season and came 2nd in a competitive handicap at the PUNCHESTOWN festival in April.
CASSELLS’S ROCK hasn’t run on the flat since last September, when he ran in a flat handicap at LEOPARDSTOWN over the same trip as the YORK EBOR for a prize of 75000 Euros and finished 2nd that day running of a mark of 85.
Tony Martins 5 year old will have improved significantly throughout this season and runs in the YORK EBOR of the same mark of 85. I should imagine this horse will have improved a lot throughout the summer and there is no better trainer than Tony Martin at getting his horses at peak form for a certain race especially a staying handicap.
The bookmakers offering the best price are currently 40/1 for CASSELLS ROCK for the YORK EBOR. A massive price for a very well handicapped horse. The problem is at the moment you don’t know if the horse is guaranteed to run, so it wouldn’t be a betting proposition just yet but come the day of the race the 40/1 would be a cracking each way bet.
This year’s renewal of the race is an open betting heat there is quite a few horses with strong claims. HAVANA BEAT, SEAMOUR and WICKLOW BRAVE where all on my short list when first looking at the race. The one that interests me the most is the Amanda PERRET trained ASTRONEREUS.
Amanda Perrett won this race in the year 2000 with a horse called GIVE THE SLIP, so she knows exactly what it takes to win this sort of contest.
ASTRONEREUS recently won the john smiths silver cup at YORK over the same distance giving weight away to some other progressive horses. This horse must be showing lots of promise and ability at home as ASTRONEREUS also has been entered in the group 1 IRISH ST LEGER at the CURRAGH on September the 13th.
Pedigree wise ASTRONEREUS sire is 2009 Epsom Derby and L ’arc de Triomphe winner SEE THE STARS, so this horse is bred to be successful and the 14/1 offered is more than worth taking a chance on.
Cassells Rock 12/1 Boylesports 1 point win
Astronereus 14/1 Generally 1 point win