Monthly Archives: July 2014

Club Brugge v Brondby

Club Brugge v Brondby

Date: July 31, 2014
Venue: Jan Breydel Stadium-Bruges, Belgium
Kick-off Time: 19:30 BST

The first leg of the Europa League qualification draw between Club Brugge and Brondby will be played at the Belgian club’s home ground. This third qualifying round fixture will be of importance to both sides as they look to play in the Europe’s second prestigious tournament.

Brugge’s Form


One of the best clubs in the Belgian league, Club Brugge also holds the record for consecutive participations in the UEFA Cup. Going by their form, Brugge will have to play out of their skins to get past Brondby. Their last game (Belgian Pro League) against Waasland-Beveren was a 2-0 win and should give the much needed boost before the midweek qualifying fixture.

Brondby’s Form


Brondby’s best result so far, this season came against Liverpool in a pre-season friendly where they matched toe-to-toe against the Merseyside club. They are still a bit far from finding their form and the inconsistent displays are still a worry.

Brondby has a good attacking unit and against Brugge they should count on their attackers to be clinical.

Key Players

Brugge: Oscar Duarte

Costa Rican defender, Duarte had a great World Cup campaign with his country and has carried his excellent form to the club. Against Waasland-Beveren he put on a solid shift and also scored a goal to give his side a victory.

Brondby’s attackers should be aware that he can keep them in his pockets if they fail to get past him.

Brondby: Johan Elmander

The journeyman striker, Elmander has returned to Brondby (his last spell with the club was a decent one scoring 22 goals in two seasons). His Bolton Wanderers spell saw him being recognised as a poacher of goals and a great header of the ball.

His movement in and around the box is really good. Pace might be an issue but makes up for his ability to bring his midfielders in the attacking play.


Looking at a low-scoring draw for which you can take the best price of 3.75 with Betfair to make sure you increase your long term profits.

Real Sociedad v Aberdeen

Real Sociedad v Aberdeen

Date: 31 July 2014
Venue: Anoeta Staidum, San Sebastian, Spain
Time: 19:30 BST

Scottish outfit Aberdeen travel to San Sebastian to take on Real Sociedad. Aberdeen will go into this tie as underdogs, but they will be confident as they upset Dutch side Groningen 2-1 on aggregate in the previous round. Their only signing so far is David Goodwillie from Blackburn, but they have kept all their key players and will be bolstered by the fact that they have already started playing competitive football.

Sociedad, on the other hand, will hope that they can cope with the losses of star winger Antoine Griezmann and star goalkeeper Claudio Bravo to Atletico Madrid and Barcelona, respectively.

Sociedad’s Pre-season form


They faced three Dutch sides so far during preseason, losing to Ajax, tying Feyenoord, and beating NEC. They haven’t put in any outstanding performances, and they haven’t played any competitive matches so far this season which could give Aberdeen an advantage.

Aberdeen’s Pre-season form


Aberdeen defeated Lithuania’s FK Daugava Riva 8-0 on aggregate in the first round of the Europa league, and then they defeated Groningen 2-1 on aggregate in the second round. Their only tie so far came in the first leg against Groningen. All of these outstanding results will be a huge boost in confidence for Aberdeen.

Key players

Real Sociedad: Carlos Vela

With Antoine Griezmann having just been sold to Atletico Madrid, a lot could fall on the shoulders of Carlos Vela to see if Sociedad canbeat Aberdeen’s stringy defense.

Aberdeen: Adam Rooney

Whether Aberdeen sit back or go after Sociedad, the goal-scoring responsibility could have to fall to their Irish number 9, who has scored six goals so far for Aberdeen in European competitions this season.

Betting Advice

Although Aberdeen have the confidence, and have been playing competitive football, I think Sociedad will still have too much quality. Their coach, Jagoba Arrasate, has said they won’t make the mistake Groningen did in thinking the tie was over after the first leg.

Expecting a high-scoring win for Sociedad, bet with bet365 (4/7) for more than 2.5 goals to be scored and if you don’t already have an account you can claim the 200 quid bonus too.

Shakhter Karagandy v Hajduk Split

Shakhter Karagandy v Hajduk Split

Date: July 31, 2014
Venue: Shakhter Stadium – Karagandy, Kazakhstan
Kick-off Time: 17:00 BST

Shakhter Karagandy will be hosting Hajduk Split in the first leg of the third round of the Europa League Qualifier. Last season Shakhter made history by becoming the first club from Kazakhstan to ever qualify for a European competition, by making it to the Europa League. They ended up finishing 4th in their group, and they will hope to push further ahead now.

Having no history of previous encounters, the two squads will surely do everything in their power to secure a victory versus their opponents,

Shakhter Karagandy’s Form


In decent form, the Kazakh side will hope to continue on their solid campaign thus far in the league, where they are locked in for a title run, they sit in 4th place, five points off of first. Shakhter no doubt will want to continue their momentum from the past season, where they qualified for the Europa League, but will face a very difficult task in hand.

Seen as the underdog by many, Shakhter will look to impress, and shut the mouth of their critics.

Hajduk Split’s Form


Horrid form thus far, they have failed to impress in their first 4 competitive fixtures, struggling to maintain a consistent brand of football, the Croatian side sits 3rd from the bottom in the league, after the first couple of fixtures.

No doubt will they look to pick up their form, and Shakhter may be the side to do it against, after Hajduk is highly touted by many to win the fixture.

Key Players and Team News

Shakhter Karagandy: Mihret Topcagic

Shakhter’s top scorer Topcagic will look to get on the scoresheet for his side, if they are to have a chance to get past Hajduk.

After being asked to stop their Animal slaughtering ritual by Uefa last season, it would be interesting to see the morale of the players, especially if superstition plays a part for them.

Hajduk: Anton Maglica
Hajduk’s top scorer last season, will look to get into form, and add that goal scoring punch, he provided them with last season.

Betting advice

BetVictor are offering as tandoutr price of 1.92 for a Karagandy win so bet with them and if you don’t already have an account you can claim a £25 free bonus too.

Legia Warsaw v Celtic

Legia Warsaw v Celtic

Date: July 30, 2014
Venue:Polish Army Stadium, Warsaw, Poland
Kick off Time: 19:45 BST

Scottish side Celtic are going to travel to Poland as they face Legia Warsaw in the first leg of their Champions League qualifying round. Being a part of the most prestigious club football competition in Europe and perhaps the world is a huge motivation for both teams as they go head to head for a battle on Thursday.

Legia Warsaw’s form


Legia Warsaw have made it into the third round of qualification for the Champions League after they beat St Patrick’s of Republic of Ireland 5-0 in the second leg. The first leg of the match finished all square with Legia playing at home.

The home team had adopted a cautious approach to the match as they looked to make sure that they did not concede an away goal. They were lucky to salvage a draw with Miroslav Radovic scoring in extra-time. However, Legia came out all guns blazing in the second leg as they scored 5 past St. Patrick’s with Radovic scoring a brace.

Celtic’s form


Celtic come into this match on the back of a couple of victories. They won the first leg of the second round of qualifying matches against KR Reykjavik in Iceland by a solitary goal from midfielder Callum McGregor.

The second leg at Celtic Park was a goal fest with the Scottish giants putting four past KR. Surprisingly, Virgil Van Djik got on the scoresheet twice in the first quarter of the game before forward Teemu Pukki scored a brace to put the game beyond all reasonable doubt.

Key Players

Legia Warsaw: Miroslav Radovic

With 3 goals so far in the qualification campaign, Serbian midfielder Radovic would be the key player on the field for the Polish side. At 30 years of age, Radovic has good experience at this level having previously played for Partizan Belgrade in the Champions League.

Celtic: Teemu Pukki

The Finnish forward will be the key man for Celtic on the pitch on Thursday as they look to take a big step in the competition. The 24 year old is in great form currently and has scored in the previous round of fixtures as well.

Betting advice

Legia Warsaw could be expected to have learnt from their mistake and not take up a very cautious approach when Celtic come calling. It would be quite ridiculous if the Scottish side did not make the cut for the Champions League group stage. However, one would be right to expect a tough challenge from Warsaw.

Expecting a tight counter with under 2.5 goals to be scored in the game, make sure you take the best price of 1.66 with Paddy Power for it!

Feyenoord v Besiktas

Feyenoord v Besiktas

Date: July 30, 2014
Venue: Feijenoord Stadium – Feyenoord, Holland
Kick-off Time: 19:00 BST

Feyenoord meet Besiktas in the first leg of their Champions League second round qualifying tie this Wednesday in Holland. Feyenoord finished second in the Dutch Eredivisie last season.

Besiktas finished third in Turkey, and qualified for the Champions League as a result of the matchfixing scandal surrounding Fenerbahce. They have fared better so far in the transfer window, managing to keep hold of all their players as well as sign Chelsea’s Senegalese striker Demba ba.

Feyenoord’s Pre-season form


Feyenoord played their first three friendlies against three teams from the lower divisions of Holland, and the result was three wins. Their first test came against Real Sociedad, a match that ended in a 1-1 draw. Striker Mitchell e te Vrede scored a goal in that game, and will likely start against Besiktas.

Besiktas’s Pre-season form


Besiktas has had similar form to Feyenoord so far this season. Their only loss was against Wigan, and they recently drew Mainz 1-1.

Key Players & Team News

Feyenoord: Jordy Clasie

The 23-year-old creative midfielder featured twice in the World Cup for Holland, against Argentina and Brazil. Dubbed the Dutch Xavi, look for him to feed Mitchell te Vrede and try to dominate the midfield.

The Dutch outfit have become victims of Holland’s success at the World Cup, as they have lost center back Bruno Martins Indi as well as wingback Darly Janmaat to both Porto and Southampton, respectively.

Also, their Italian forward Graziano Pelle, who scored 23 times in the Eredivisie last season, has moved to Southampton. And finally, center back Stefan De Vrij has almost completed a move to Lazio.

Besiktas: Demba Ba

Last year, Mourinho said Chelsea had no strikers, as the likes of Fernando Torres, Demba Ba, and Samuel Eto’o weren’t cutting it. The Senegalese forward got a move to Besiktas and looks to be very happy about the move. Let’s see if he can translate that excitement to the pitch.

Betting Advice

With Feyenoord already losing several of their key players, I can’t see a dominating performance, but I still think they’ll get the win. Take the best price of 3.3 with BetVictor to make sure you increase your long term profits. Also look at Stan James’ offer of 1.8 for less than 2.5 goals to be scored in the match.

Grasshoppers v Lille

Grasshoppers v Lille

Date: July 30, 2014
Venue: Letzigrund – Zurich, Switzerland
Kick-off Time: 18:00 BST

Watch the live streaming of Grasshoppers v Lille match here

The Grasshoppers will be hosting the French side Lille, this upcoming Wednesday and both sides will be looking to advance to the play-off round of the Champions League.

The hosts having never qualified for the group stages and hence will be looking create some sort of a history here. On the other hand, Lille will look be looking to make their sixth appearance in the group stage.

Having never faced each other in a competitive match, there may be a bit of circumspection in the attitudes of both teams, but once the early nerves are off, expect them to go at each other.

Grasshoppers’ Form

L- L

Having only played two competitive fixtures so far this seas, the team has looked uncomfortable on the pitch, suffering two defeats to begin their season in a horrid fashion. They will look to turn things around quickly against the French Side but things won’t get too easy on the pitch against a far more experienced team.

The Grasshoppers had their hearts broken by another French side last season, Olympique de Lyon, eliminating them in the third round Stage, and a change in fortunes is what they will hope for this year.

Lille’s Form


Having yet to play a competitive match, Les Dogues won’t have too much time to start off on the right foot. If friendlies are any parameter to form than Lille may be in trouble after suffering two defeats to lesser sides. They lacked fitness in those matches, and we’ll have to wait and see what type of preparation has been done to face The Hoppers.

Having missed the chance to compete in the Champions League last year, Lille will be hungry and determined to qualify for the play-offs but will need to shrug off their form issues.

Key Players and Team News

Grasshoppers: Munas Dabbur

Munas Dabbur will look to carry over his form, after banging in a double in their defeat vs Zurich, Dabbur looked lethal in front of goal, and the young Israeli will look to get on the scoresheet once again.

Grasshoppers will be without newly signed Nassim Ben Khalifa after he raptured his Cruciate Ligament.

Lille: Vincent Enyeama

Top-class keeper, with the ability to maintain clean sheets on his own, no doubt Lille’s most important player, will great Experience Enyeama will look to keep his team from receiving goals.

With the continuing speculation of young Belgian striker Origi making a move to Liverpool, he may be uneased about his future and may not be at his best against Grasshoppers.

Betting advice

Looking at a drawn game for which 888Sport are offering 23/10, don’t expect these odds to though so grab this price as soon as you can.

And if you are looking to watch the live streaming of this match online, all you need to do is to go to bet365 and either open your free account with them (with a one-time deposit) or log-in to your existing account and clicking on ‘Live Streaming’!

Slovan Bratislava v S. Tiraspol

Slovan Bratislava v S. Tiraspol

Date: July 29, 2014
Venue: Stadion Pasienky, Bratislava (SVK)
Kick-off Time: 19:15 BST

The match in question is one for qualification into the UEFA Champions League and hence the winner will land a huge incentive. The competition is the most prestigious football club competition in Europe and both teams will be looking to get into the group stages in any manner that they could.

Both sides won their respective preceding matches and took a step towards qualification, and will now hope to continue their winning run as they look to qualify for the main stage. Unfortunately only one of them will go through.

Slovan Bratislava’s form


Bratislava have won both their qualifying games in the competition so far and are looking good for yet another victory. They beat the Welsh side The New Saints FC in the opening couple of rounds, home and away to make it into the current round of qualifying matches for the group stage.

The team played good football in those games as they won by an aggregate score of 3-0.

Marko Milinkovic and Erik Cikos scored the all-important goals in those matches as Bratislava made it into the next round. Provided that this team can maintain a similar level of dynamism on the pitch and play to their potential, there is nothing to stop them from winning the upcoming match.

S. Tiraspol’s form


Tiraspol were able to see off the challenge from FC Sutjeska in the first round home and away. Tiraspol beat their opponents comfortably on the occasion as they took the fixture 5-0 on aggregate over two matches.

Ismail Isa, Fred Benson, Luvannor Henrique, and Andrei Muresan were on the score-sheet on the occasion with Isa scoring a brace.

Tiraspol are a very compact side with one of the best defences in qualifying this term. It will be difficult for the opposition to get the ball past their defence and create many goal-scoring opportunities.

The opposition will need to take the chances that they do get in order to have any hopes of qualification. The Sheriffs are equally good at ball-playing and attacking as had been demonstrated by their 5-0 demolition of Montenegrin side Sutjeska in the preceding round.

Key Players

Slovan Bratislava: Marko Milinkovic

The 26-year-old attacker Marko Milinkovic will be the man to watch out for. Milinkovic has lightning pace and quick feet which has been cause for concern for defenders in the past.

He has eight shots on goal so far in the course of the last couple of games which makes him a potent threat. The Serbian had also scored a brace for his side against Welsh side TNS in the opening round of qualifying games.

S. Tiraspol: Ismail Isa

The 25-year-old Bulgarian striker Ismail Isa will be the main player as far as Sheriff are concerned. Isa scored a couple of great goals against Sutjeska in the opening round of qualifying games and he will be looking to do much of the same when his side comes up against the Slovakians on Tuesday.

Betting advice

This being a Cup match and also the first leg, one suspects that the away team, the Sheriffs, will be relatively quiet on the pitch.

A tactical battle is expected. However, with plenty of attack-minded players on both sides of the pitch, one could possibly see a lot of goalmouth action in the 90 minutes on Tuesday.

Bet with bet365 and if you don’t already have an account you can claim a £200 bonus too – which can be used to bet on Bratislava to win this match (2.0 at bet365).

I’m also looking at Coral’s 6/5 for both teams to score in this one.

Sparta Prague vs Malmo

Sparta Prague vs Malmo

Date: July 29, 2014
Venue: Generali Arena – Prague, Czech Republic
Kick-off Time: 17:00 BST

The UEFA Champions League qualifications are becoming more grueling and the third qualifying round will see some good football. Czech side AC Sparta Prague will host Swedish champions, Malmo FF as both sides will look to qualify for the Europe’s prestigious tournament.

The first leg is being played at the Czech side’s home ground which will be of great advantage to them as their home form has been ominous.

Sparta’s Form


Sparta’s last season’s European campaign was disappointing and they will be more determined this year to wash away those memories.

The previous qualifying round’s victory against Estonian side, FC Levadia Tallinn was something else. Spearheaded by their captain, David Lafata they scored seven past a hapless Levadia side in the first leg and the second leg was a draw (Result :1-1).

Their current form, considering the Czech Super Cup and Czech league, is really good and they are really sweeping sides aside. They have scored three or more goals in three of their last six matches and four of their previous five.

Malmo’s Form


Malmo FF edged past Latvian club, FK Ventsllis, scoring a solitary goal on their visit in the second leg. The first leg was a drab encounter.

Malmo’s league form is really good, but playing in Europe is different from league. The competition is strong and the likes of Sparta can hurt Malmo’s chances of going further in the tournament.

Key Players

Sparta: David Lafata

Czech side’s captain, Lafata was in the form of his life against Levadia scoring five goals in the process. His leadership skills are undeniable and he is still a vital cog in the side even with advancing age.

He has never been known for scoring bucket loads of goals, but this might be his purple patch. Malmo beware!

Malmo: Markus Rosenberg

Malmo’s own home grown talent, Rosenberg returned to the club after playing in almost all the top leagues. A veteran in European competitions, his experience will be of great importance to Malmo’s European chances.

He possesses great strength and aerial ability, also is good on the ball. Sparta’s defence needs to watch out for him


I am expecting AC Sparta Prague to cruise past Malmo FF at home, which is at 1.44 with bet365. Only take this bet because any lower than 1.40 isn’t value, and it can be expected to go down quite quickly in the lead-up to this game. Also look at over 2.5 goals to be scored in the game (2.05 at bet365).

Vålerenga vs Stabaek

Vålerenga vs Stabaek

Date: July 29, 2014
Venue: Ullevaal Stadion – Oslo, Norway
Kick-off Time: 18:00 BST

Vålerenga will be hosting 11th-placed Stabaek, in Oslo, Norway this Tuesday in the Tippeligaen. Vålerenga currently sit in the fifth spot with the aspiration of playing European football this season as they are five points off the European places.

While “De Blaa” are close to relegation, just five points from the relegation zone, they will hope to retain their title as a first division team, but for that they will need to start winning a few games.

During their first encounter this season, Vålerenga punished the Stabaek with a 3-0 victory. “The Pride of Oslo” completely dominated their opposition, and it showed on the scoreline.

Vålerenga’s Form


They have been inconsistent thus far in the season, showing glimpses of brilliance, but at other times have looked like a team who has yet to gel as a unit. Having won only two of their previous five games, they will hope to pick up form in order to increase their chances at European football.

However, having finished 11th last season, they would undoubtedly be happy with their improvement in this campaign.

Stabaek’s Form


Currently in horrid form, they will most definitely seek to improve, if they want to remain in the current division. Having won promotion last season to the top division, they will hope to remain there, but with their current form, it may be a difficult task,

Key Players

Vålerenga: Viðar Örn Kjartansson

Viðar Örn Kjartansson has been Lethal in front of goal this season, currently the top scorer of the competition with 14 goals in 16 appearances, Stabaek will have to be cautious when defending the Icelandic.

Stabaek: Frank Boli, Luc Kass
The Ivory Coast youngster have been great thus far scoring a combined 9 goals this far in the season, Stabaek will look towards the young Africans to show a spark against Vålerenga.

Betting advice

I sense this will be a one-sided encounter with the better of two sides, Vålerenga, showing it against an out of form Stabaek. Make sure you take the best price of 4/9 with Stan James for a Valerenga win, which is also the same price that bet365 is offering for more than two goals to be scored in the match.

Betting Investment – Week 2 Results

Betting Investment – Week 2 Results

Starting Bank: £364.24
Current Bank: £250.19
Return: -£114.05
ROI -31.31%

Another loss made this week after hundreds more bets and although it’s only 2 weeks into this challenge it’s time for changes. The overall funds are down by nearly a third, to £250 from £364 in 2 weeks and after hundreds of bets something clearly isn’t working.

BettingResource’s tips are still going through a rare bad patch and horse racing has made over £35 in losses in itself. I am confident BR will return to form but I think it’s time to put racing on the back burner. The bets are for the lowest amounts due to the losing streaks and it takes up the most time to get the bets on daily. So stopping these bets for this challenge is a no brainer.

Horse racing tipsters dominate the top positions in my tipster table and I thought I’d be silly not to include them. However, it seems you really do need to be making the most of the best available prices and just betting with one bookie or in this case Betfair makes it much more difficult to make it pay. There are more reduction factors than you’d expect and there’s no best odds guaranteed either.

You can request to take the start price with Betfair but with many of the racing tips being on the shorter priced horses this is unlikely to help much either, with most of them possibly shortening up. Now that I’m no longer betting on the horses I’ve decided I only really need Pinnacle and Betfair for this challenge. I’ll therefore be moving the bet365 funds to my severely depleted Pinnacle account!

As you can imagine updating the excel sheet is a big ask after so many bets and another loss and I’ve also decided that it’s too much like hard work to maintain. Now that I’m only using 2 accounts, Betfair and Pinnacle I can pretty easily monitor performance. I also have the tipster records of all the tipsters I use, either on my site or externally and I don’t think I need such detailed records.

I started returning to trading in the last few days and remembered how much easier I find this. I have been successful in the past with trading and although I have tried to steer clear of it due to the time cost, I have decided that I need to do more of this again. I have a subscription with Gruss and will look to automate some strategies too.

There is some good news at least in that the premier league will return soon which I’m looking forward to as I made a very nice profit and finished second in Cassini’s Friendly Tipster League. This year there’s £2000 up for grabs from just a £52.50 entry fee and if you like to tip on football I challenge you to join and beat me!