Monthly Archives: February 2012


Betting Tools


Betting Tools

Aren’t there some wonderful betting and trading resources around on the Internet these days? If I’d read or had access to these from the start I can guarantee it would have saved me from a fair few losses and some mug punting but that’s part of learning and development. I’ve seen a few betting directories around but no simple one page site that plainly lists and categorises links to all the best resources on the web and so I decided to knock one up here: www.bettingtools.co.uk . I want to know about any brilliant sites I’m missing out on, so please let me know!
I know it’s not much to look at and I did just knock it up on the spare hour or two I had at the weekend but I just want to get all the very best links in one easy to find place and am not too concerned with the look of the page. I probably will look to improve it eventually but for now I’d just like to get some more links added and maybe some review written. I know there are many more sites than what I’ve added so far but it’s a start and I’m sure more will come to me as I go through my bookmarks etc. So again if you think there are any betting sites and resources that are brilliant enough to be placed on this page, please let me know. Also if you have any ideas for improvement or development of the page please feel free to contact me.
The weekend’s betting was disappointing for me. I layed Wigan as my tip of the day and they only went and beat Sunderland 4-0! My Premier League Value Selections also made a small loss of -13.29%, despite landing the draw at Wigan v Aston Villa and Arsenal winning at home to Spurs. We were actually looking like bagging a whopping 49.57% profit briefly when Norwich equalised against Man Utd. Unfortunately that one goal from Ryan Giggs was the difference this week between a huge profit and a smallish loss. I still have faith in these selections though and long term I’m sure they’ll remain in profit. We are still showing An ROI of 13.86% on level stakes and 14.12% for Kelly stakes. It wasn’t so much that Kelly has a good week, in fact it did worse % wise than level stakes but the Kelly stakes were very small as our price were extremely close to those of the market. Here is the updated sheet: http://www.betfairbanter.com/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx
This marks a bit of a milestone in that it was the first weekend was that Kelly stakes overtook level stakes. If my percentage predictions were to have an accuracy in them, Kelly was always going to prove better long term but I wasn’t sure due to overestimating short prices and with much of the value being in longer prices but now that Kelly is ahead perhaps I will look at changing my staking. It’s not Kelly in the conventional sense in that each bet is a Kelly stake out of a fixed mini bank (10 units) rather than the whole bank. This is a much less volatile approach which I feel is required for sports trading but that said none of my estimations have been so far out of line with the market to risk a huge loss so maybe a full Kelly wouldn’t be so disastrous after all!
Either way the important thing is the varied staking based on the edge that you have on the odds and what percentage of the bank you use to calculate this doesn’t really matter as long as you keep it the same for all bets and that your bank doesn’t get so small that you can’t put any bets on anymore! It’s actually quite difficult to operate Kelly in the conventional sense too because most of the games are on at the same time. You could recalculate the % against the new bank after each week but again this leads to a lot of volatility and a bad week can really hit you hard.
Finally what a cup final yesterday’s match at Wembley proved to be. It really did have a bit of everything. Liverpool may have won but it was a toss of the coin as to who was going to win after it went to Penalties and there’s no reason for Cardiff to feel too disheartened. It’s only the Carling Cup after all but you wouldn’t have known the way Liverpool celebrated!






Premier League Selections (Week 6)


Premier League Selections (Week 6)

So we’ve had a little bit of a break from the Premier League Selections and since then both Arsenal and Chelsea look like going out of the champion’s league. It was to be expected really for these 2, it’s amazing to think the 2 Manchester teams on playing on Thursday nights while these poor teams are still in, well mathematically at least.

I’ve done my % predictions for this week and its incredible how I seem to be getting closer to the markets prices as the weeks go by. There’s 2 ‘No bet’ matches (QPR v Fulham and Stoke V Swansea) which I’m pleased about because I didn’t really have an opinion on either of them and not one selection over 1 unit (out of 10) in terms of the Kelly stakes. That means according to my selections there’s not a huge amount of value but there is some and we hope to profit from it. Worryingly my estimations have told me to back 4 draws! Draws are extremely hard to predict and people don’t like to back them but guess what, they do happen and almost 30% of the time! Because of the reluctance of people to back draws, the prices are usually pretty good and they certainly look very juicy this week with Man City v balckburn at 8.6, Chelsea v Bolton at 6.0 and Norwich v Man Utd at 4.4. Some weeks there are no draws and others there are 5 or 6 but you just have to play the odds and o with the value. It looks like this week could be epic in terms of profit or an epic fail. I can’t see a small profit or loss this week. I really do think it will be drastic whichever way it goes!

I’m reasonably happy with everything the spread sheet told me to bet on this week. I do expect United and City to both win and I gave what I thought was generous estimations to reflect this. But the market obviously has them even shorter than this and for that reason the draws on these games is value. United are away from home against a decent Norwich side and Blackburn have upset a few teams including Arsenal and Man United at Old Trafford and when you have a striker like Yakubu you always have a chance. Football’s a funny old game as they say and some days you just can’t buy a goal or the opposition score early and park the bus. We’ll be very happy if either of these games sees one of these scenarios. One things for sure Man City are 1.2 which means they have to win 9 times out of 10 for you to profit backing at these odds and there’s not going to be much profit to be had (if any) backing teams at these prices in the long term.
See the spreadsheet for Kelly Bets and the results so far: http://www.betfairbanter.com/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx

Home
Away
Odds
Selection
Chelsea
Bolton
6.00
Draw
Newcastle
Wolves
1.61
Newcastle
QPR
Fulham
NONE
West Brom
Sunderland
3.05
Sunderland
Wigan
Aston Villa
3.45
Draw
Man City
Blackburn
8.60
Draw
Arsenal
Tottenham
2.62
Arsenal
Norwich
Man Utd
4.40
Draw
Stoke
Swansea
NONE





SkyGo App for Android


SkyGo App for Android

Just a quick post to let people know about the new Android app for SkyGo released today which allows you to watch the TV channels (Including the Sky Sports channels) that you have on your Sky Subscription on your mobile phone.

This has been available on the Iphone for a while and I’ve been desperate for them to release one for Android phones. Well here it is. I’m sure this will make it into my updated best apps for Gamblers list! I’ll never miss those La Liga games on a Sunday again :)






FA Cup Weekend


FA Cup Weekend

No Premier League today as it’s FA Cup weekend. I won’t be embarrassing myself by offering my FA Cup tips because I think they’d be pretty useless. I love the unpredictability of the FA Cup but it’s just a bit too unpredictable for me. When I think there’s a chance of a shock the Prem teams wins easily and vice versa. I would be very tempted to lay Chelsea today at 1.34 against Birmingham for what it’s worth so cue the 4-0 home win! Seriously though Birmingham head to Stamford Bridge unbeaten in 13 games in all competitions, a run based on a defence that has conceded just three goals since the turn of the year. An upset would be no surprsise here. The under 2.5 goals is an incredible 2.3 on Betfair and this has to be value?!

I also need to work on the Champions League after declaring that Milan were a value lay at 2.22 against Arsenal. It shouldn’t be too hard for me to adapt my thinking to other football competitions but I don’t watch as much of these matches or keep records on any trends or indeed any bets I have had. I will look at this soon but for now I want to specialise in my Premier League Odds compiling.

I recently found out that most tipsters provide their results without commission being included. This is quite pleasing because if I take off commission on the Premier League Selections, it bumps the ROI up from 17.73% to 24.1%. I didn’t expect it to make such a difference after just 49 bets but it really does all add up. That said people do bet at various commission levels, especially if betting on Betfair and other exchanges so leaving commission out would make it easier to compare with others, unless everyone could agree on a minimum as a standard.

What I didn’t mention i my last post was that Kelly has almost crept up level with Level Stakes! I am very pleased to see Kelly get close to the Level Stakes bets  I’m because this means that the odds are realistic across all the matches. The more accurate my odds are the better Kelly should perform so I will be very pleased to see Kelly out perform Level Stakes in the long term.

Looking forward to the boxing tonight after Derek Chisora decided to slap Vitali Klitschko at the weigh-in! I am British but I really admire and respect Klitschko and Chisora deserves to get a good pasting after those antics, if indeed they weren’t stages and many cynics are suggesting. Klitschko is available to back at 1.1 on Betfair for those of you that like to lump on shorties.






Value Betting


Value Betting

It’s a fact of betting that your bets need to be of value for you to profit. This basically means that on average the bets you take must come in more times than the odds suggest. So if you bet at evens you need to be right more than 50% of the time to have a chance of profiting. Whilst this is great in the long term it can be very frustrating in the short term as other recent bloggers have recently stressed. For example, the master of the blog and in play trading specialist Cassini tipped up under 2.5 goals on twitter the other day in the Tottenham v Newcastle match and there were 4 goals in the first 35 minutes. Fortunately, good bettors’ long term results speak for themselves but it’s still very frustrating and makes you look like you don’t know your stuff, when in actual fact that might not be and in this case not true at all. For the record Cassini a la Twitter was back to winning ways on Sunday with his under 2.5 bet in the Villa v Man City game which looked like having few goals right from the start and his value lay of city very close to coming in too.

In all matches there is a chance that x will happen. If it can happen it will as they say. It might only be a 1 in a hundred chance and you might well be on at odds that give you a huge edge on it not happening but it can and will still happen. Also frustrating is when you price up a match very similar to the market. You think a selection is of slight value but is it enough to bet. My spread sheet revealed a few of these ‘opportunities’ this weekend.  For example, one of our bets was the draw between Man United and Liverpool. Now I have actually been very impressed with United recently and did expect them to win so I was in a bit of a dilemma when the sheet told me a draw was our best bet, based on the odds available and my % predictions. I was actually a bit disappointed but there should be no bias in these % estimations, it’s not about who you think will win and making sure that you get a bet on them whatever the price because at some point the price will no longer be value.

If I strongly fancy Man United to win next week and they are 1.2 at home to Liverpool, I would be stupid to bet at this price because statistically Man United don’t win 83% of the time at home to teams like Liverpool and I won’t make profit in the long term. It’s tempting to say that I shouldn’t bet when the odds are so close to those of the market especially when %’s are very hard to estimate accurately and a slight change in thought of a % or 2 could change the bet form one team to the other. However, we must trust our selections and have faith that we will price up matches more accurately than the market over the long term and also remember that a good bettor takes all bets he believes he has an advantage over no matter how big or small. The majority of punters money will have been on United and I think I am more likely to make money opposing them in these circumstances too.
If we were betting using Kelly, our bet would have been much smaller as indicated on the sheet and so being so close to the market prices doesn’t matter so much as either way we won’t lose money but at level stakes it’s obviously a little more problematic. Level stakes are currently doing better than the Kelly comparison and this could mean that our prices aren’t accurate enough but we are seemingly still finding value because we are in profit. I also think that with Kelly people tend to overestimate the chances of the shorter and more likely selections and the longer priced selections provide more opportunity for value. I think it’s also down to the fact that there are more unknowns and uncertainties at these juicier prices and less money on them so the odds are more likely to be value.
Anyway, I’m rambling a bit now but finding value and choosing stakes are the most important aspects of betting and something that I’m always questioning and looking to improve. Speaking of finding value, Betfred are offering all new customers a free £10 bet with no deposit required! It’s hard to turn that down but if you’ve got more cash to spare, deposit and bet £50 and they will match your bet with a free £50 bet! Lay off the bets on betfair and you can guarantee yourself a risk free £30-40 here, depending on what odds you bet at. Click the link below to get your free cash.
Betfred Sports

Despite United’s win and all but 1 of the other results going against us on Saturday, we managed to recover successfully on Sunday and finished up with a not so dramatic -5.9% ROI to leave us still with 17.73% ROI overall . If a couple of late goals at the stadium of light and at Bolton hadn’t gone in we would have been in a lot of profit but on the other hand if Man City hadn’t managed to break the deadlock at Villa our losses would have been more significant. So you can see the fine margins we are dealing with here. As you can see from the below the overall results are still looking good.

Week 1 –> 55.20 Units profit (55.2% ROI)
Week 2 –> 59.90 Units profit (59.9% ROI)
Week 3 –> -41.80 Units profit (-46.44% ROI)
Week 4 –> 19.50 Units profit (19.5.% ROI)
Week 5 –> -5.9 Units profit (-5.9% ROI)
Overall –> 86.90 Units profit (17.73.% ROI)

Finally, I must say I’m pleased that the racism stuff seems to have been put to bed now. Whilst it provided a bit of entertainment for a while and debate around the handshake debacle, I am glad we can stop talking about it now and get back to the football, starting with the return of the champions’ league!






Premier League ‘Selections’ (Week 5)


Premier League ‘Selections’ (Week 5)

I’m made a couple of decisions regarding the Prem Predictions. Firstly, I’m going to rename them Prem Selections. Predictions make sit sounds as though I’m trying to predict the outcome of the matches when this is not really true and if it were I would probably go with the favourites most of the time. Predicting the outcome of individual matches isn’t my concern and I will be more than happy win 3 wins out of 10 every week if it sees us in profit.
The second thing I’ve decided is that I will post all the weekends (Mondays included) selections in the one post. This makes it much easier to follow my progress and means I don’t have to do several updates. I previously thought it would be best to wait until the day or the day before the match when all team news was known but in actual fact it shouldn’t matter because the odds available will be based on the team news available at the time.
Onto this week’s games then and surprise surprise I’ve gone mostly for away results! You could be forgiven for thinking that I have just gone for away results all the time and been lucky that there has been quite a lot away wins recently. However, I decided to do some comparison and just check what the results would have been had I bet on all away wins, all home wins or all draw and these were the results.
ROI
Prem Selections 23.79%
All Draws 19.63%
All Homes 9.23%
All Aways -20.15%

As you can see all away wins would have resulted in the worst results and it does prove that I am being selective. Conversely betting on all home or all draws would have given us a profit, so perhaps there have been too many of both of these recently and it’s a good time to bet on aways! The ROI is currently 23.78, with 92.80 points profit and whilst it’s been a great start our edge is still unproven as a loss on every game this week would wipe out all our profit. Whilst this is unlikely, it’s far from impossible and just shows how early days it is for these ‘selections’. Here is a summary of the results so far:
Week 1 -> 55.20 Units profit (55.2% ROI)
Week 2 –> 59.90 Units profit (59.9% ROI)
Week 3 –> -41.80 Units profit (-46.44% ROI)
Week 4 –> 19.50 Units profit (19.5.% ROI)
Overall –> 92.80 Units profit (23.79% ROI)
Some results scream out draw to you and Bolton v Wigan is one of these, so I was more than happy to see that appear on the sheet after I inputted the Betfair odds. It also tells me to bet draw on the Man Utd Liverpool game and although I think United should edge it, the draw is worth taking at this 3.75.
The Sunderland v Arsenal game is very intriguing. Everyone always says form is key and Sunderland’s form has been incredible recently. If it hadn’t been for Arsenal’s demolition of Blackburn last week, we would definitely have seen a much shorter price on the newly improved home side. It will be interesting to see if Sunderland can keep their run going and this will be a true test of just how far they have come under O’Neill.
The best value away selections are West Brom (away to Wolves) and Man City (away to Aston Villa), I definitely think that Villa are a poor team and Robbie Keane is making the look much better than they really are and so City are a banker for me. West Brom are unlikely to lose against Wolves as Hodgson is a master tactician defensively and Draw No bet would be a good option on this one.
Here are all the selections for this week. For all the Kelly fans check out the excel sheet for more info (http://www.betfairbanter.com/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx ) Good luck with all your bets!
 
Home Away Odds Selection
Man Utd Liverpool 3.75 Draw
Blackburn QPR 3.20 QPR
Bolton Wigan 3.4 Draw
Everton Chelsea 2.34 Chelsea
Fulham Stoke 4.40 Stoke
Sunderland Arsenal 3.9 Sunderland
Swansea Norwich 4.60 Norwich
Tottenham Newcastle 7.80 Newcastle
Wolves West Brom 3.10 West Brom
Aston Villa Man City 1.71 Man City






Betting Tax, Drug Cheats and Next England Manager!


Betting Tax, Drug Cheats and Next England Manager!

Apparently a betting tax proposal for offshore Bookmakers was passed to the Commons this week to try and get Bookmakers who run their business tax free in Gibraltar and who take custom from UK punters to pay UK tax. I didn’t really know what this might mean for Bookies or Punters to be honest but Scott Ferguson has a very informative post on this on Sportismadeforbetting.com. Basically, if Bookies do get forced to do this it’s a good thing that punters bets would all be under one regulatory body but the latter part of the bill apparently tries to argue that punters who make money laying on betfair should pay this too as they are acting as a bookmaker. It’s unlikely that this bit will get passed, I mean what about people who haven’t layed over 100% or people who have dutched selections at the bookies would they pay too?! It sounds like this bill is at the very early stages currently and it would be a long time before anything like this could happen, if indeed ever.
This week also saw cycling star Alberto Contodor banned for drug use. I am always saddened when a champion or great sportsman is revealed to have taken drugs. They will always be tarred with the drug cheat brush for the rest of their lives even if they manage to clear their name. The trouble is, you have blatant cheats, those who took something on the advice of coaches and those that took something unknowingly because it was in a particular food or drink. The authorities and the public don’t care either way but there must be many cases where the athlete in question didn’t intend to cheat and it’s pretty sad that everything they’ve worked for is meaningless or at least in question.
The fact is elite athletes are offered lots of different substances to get a competitive edge over their rivals and it must be difficult to know if you are breaking a particular rule or not and a great deal of trust is put in coaches and Nutritionists. The question is how do we clean up our sports and make it fair for all. The 2 extremes are 1) to ban everything that might help you 2) to allow all substances but neither of these would work 1) because it’s possible too much of a natural occurrence of something may be present in one athletes body as opposed to another and 2) if you allowed everything then aside from the health concerns, the poorer athletes would also be at a massive disadvantage because they can’t afford all the performance enhancing drugs. So we are stuck in the middle of these two extremes where there’s a grey area as to what defines cheating and what doesn’t.
Lastly, with the resignation of Capello all the talk is about who will become the Next England Manager? Harry Redknapp has conveniently been found innocent of tax evasion just in time and is a big odds on favourite and he too would be my choice. Stuart Pearce also looks set to be involved too and I don’t think the F.A. will look any further than these two for the position. The Next Manager Market is not on Betfair yet for some reason but these are often good markets to make decent money is because of various rumours flying around. Don’t expect too much excitement with this one though because the job is Harry’s if he wants it and by all accounts he does! Everyone except Harry and Pearce are worth laying though if you have a big enough bank! The F.A. would have to be crazy not to go for Harry or indeed an English Manger as the views of the English public, the press and even some of the players have been made very clear.
Premier League Predictions will be posted tomorrow.






Liverpool v Tottenham and Free Bet


Liverpool v Tottenham and Free Bet

I bet you can’t guess who I’m on in this one?! Yep it’s the away side again. This is probably becoming boring for people now but I must be getting value otherwise I wouldn’t be in profit. After 3 good results on Saturday I was unlucky Sunday because there were large periods in the matches when both our selections, Villa and Man United were the better team and both had wonder goals scored against them.

So that makes it 3 wins from 9 at the weekend and still 32.78% ROI! Even if we lose on the Liverpool v Spurs game we are still 19.50% to the good for this week and that just emphasises how important value is. Perhaps there have been a freak amount of away results or a lack of draws and the odds that Betfair has offered on the 2 main sections has been good enough to profit regardless. I think I will do a control at some point soon to test what might have happened as I think this will be interesting.


On to tonight’s game then. So why is the away side value again? Well because they currently sit higher in the table for one, there form is better and they’ve found scoring goals easier all season. They are without key attacking players however. Van der Vaart, Adebayor, Defoe and Lennon are all likely to be missing and the spirit in the Liverpool camp has improved recently, even Andy Caroll has managed to find the net again.

The team news has cause Spurs to drift somewhat from 3.25 to 4.3 and whilst the team news is important I think there’s been a bit of an overreaction to it, hence the value being on Spurs. Louis Saha could make his Spurs debut too and so I’ll be hoping he has the same sort of impact that Cisse had for Newcastle yesterday.

If you don’t fancy spending your own cash on this one bet365 are offering a free in play bet on this one. You have to make a pre-match bet first, which you can then lay off on Betfair. You’ll probably lose a quid or 2 on that one but then you’ll have a free £50 bet on anything you want because if it loses bet365 will refund it. If you don’t have an account then sign up here as you can also get £200 in free bets.
Punter’s diary explains in a bit more detail how to make the most of the free bet:

Last time Bet365 offered a free bet on a live match I cashed in nicely so I hope to do the same tonight. I have bet £50 on Liverpool to win at odds of 2.05 at Bet365 as my pre match bet. That means I now have a £50 risk free in play bet to use once the game kick offs.

I have already covered my pre match bet by laying Liverpool at 2.1 at Betfair. Now whatever happens I will lose £2.50. That’s because if Liverpool win I get £52.50 back from Bet365 but lose £55 at befair. If Liverpool don’t win I get £47.50 back from Betfair after commission but lose my £50 at Bet365. So why do it?

Well now I have a risk free bet of £50 on the match. I am keen to back Spurs but want to know the team news before I bet. For me Adebayor is a key figure for Spurs as he holds the ball up so well. If he plays I am keen to back them.

So if I do bet my £50 on Spurs at around 3.8, the current price I stand to win £140. The risk is £0 as Bet365 refund any losing bets as part of the free bet deal.

So in summary if in fact I do back Spurs I stand to win £140 and the risk is just £2.50 from the original bets on Liverpool at Bet365 and Betfair. So I am getting odds of 55/1 on Tottenham to win his match. Not bad.






Great Away Days


Great Away Days

Yesterday was in fact a great day for away results just as we hoped. We predicted wins for Sunderland,Swansea and Wolves that all came in and gave us a 70.71% Return on Investment for yesterday and 34.11% overall. On the face of it 3 correct outcomes out of 7 doesn’t sound particularly impressive but it’s all about the odds and odds of 3.6, 3.85 and 4.5 were very juicy wins indeed. You could say we rode our luck a bit wit both Swansea and Wolves both losing at one point and we were certainly helped with QPR and Stoke both playing a chunk of the game with 10 men. However, this is exactly what can happen in football and you have to factor luck into your price. Conversely we were actually very unlucky in midweek so it all evens itself out as they say, you just have to make sure you are consistently taking value. Onto today’s games then Aston Villa v Newcastle and Chelsea v Man United, assuming that the snow fall won’t stop these from going ahead. Villa seem a little more rejuvenated since the arrival of Robbie Keane and have been scoring a fair amount of goals. Newcastle have been a bit leaky without Steven Taylor and even though they scraped a 2-0 win the other night they were a bit fortunate. Demba Ba returns today though and so I make Newcastle slight favourites, being the home team but my sheet tells me that Villa are still the value. At the Bridge, a struggling Chelsea minus John Terry take on an in form Manchester United who are likely to still be without Nani but may welcom back Wayne Rooney. The Betfair market can’t separate them but I don’t see how Chelsea can be favourites in this one. United are likely to dominate possession and Chelsea just can’t seem to find the net these days. Even their last gasp equaliser against Swansea the other night was very fortunate and I see the value with the away side yet again. So surprise surprise, I will be backing both away teams today. Landing one of these will put me in profit for the day and cap of a superb weekend for the Premier League Predictions. http://www.betfairbanter.com/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx

Date Home Away Selection Odds
05-Feb-12 Newcastle Aston Villa Newcastle 3.75
05-Feb-12 Chelsea Man Utd Chelsea 2.80





Premier League Predictions (Week 4)


Premier League Predictions (Week 4)

What with all the media circus surrounding John Terry and the England captaincy, you could be forgiven for not knowing there was Premiership football on today. We’ll have to wait for Super Sunday to find out if Rio Ferdinand shakes John Terry’s hand when Chelsea entertain Man United and there’s the juicy fixture of Tottenham v Liverpool to look forward on Monday but first there’s 7 other fixtures to look forward to today.

I’m hoping that today is a great day for away results as my predictions have indicated value in all away teams bar the Arsenal v Blackburn game on which I have been instructed to back the draw. To be honest I didn’t see this coming and is probably the last thing I need after my first losing week and when you consider that home teams on average win about 45% of the time.  My predictions comfortably have the home teams as favourites in all but the Wigan match too and another losing week is definitely a possibility if the better, in form teams perform.
However this is the unpredictable Premier League we’re talking about and looking at the prices on the away teams as a whole though, there are some big prices, not least Fulham at 14.5. Man City have won 16 times in a row at Eastlands but Fulham are a good passing team and this is a huge price. If this comes in we won’t need any other away results to be in profit!
One thing to note is that the Kelly bets are much smaller than they have been in the past weeks. This means that my predictions are pretty close to that of the ‘Betfair market’ and there is not as much value as there has been in other weeks. Hopefully my estimations of the value being on the away team will be proved correct but if this is not the case I reckon we could see Kelly Stakes pull even closer to that of level stakes. Level stakes are currently showing an ROI of 25% with Kelly at 15%.
Let’s hope for some big priced away winners this week. Good luck all.
For further detail see here but actual selections are below: http://www.betfairbanter.com/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx
 
Date Home Away Selection
04-Feb-12 Arsenal Blackburn Draw
04-Feb-12 Norwich Bolton Bolton
04-Feb-12 QPR Wolves Wolves
04-Feb-12 Stoke Sunderland Sunderland
04-Feb-12 West Brom Swansea Swansea
04-Feb-12 Wigan Everton Everton
04-Feb-12 Man City Fulham Fulham